Structural Pattern Mining in Inka Khipus: A KFG Re-Analysis

Khipus -- knotted cord devices -- were the primary recording medium of the Inka Empire (c. 1400-1532 CE), yet their system remains undeciphered. We present a reproducible machine-learning pipeline applied to the Open Khipu Repository (OKR), a public database of 619 khipus comprising 54,403 cords and 110,677 knots. We engineer 27 structural features per khipu and apply (i) unsupervised clustering via UMAP and HDBSCAN, recovering three structurally distinct groups (silhouette = 0.769); (ii) supervised provenance classification via gradient boosting, reaching F1 = 0.86 for the Inka Late Horizon imperial style; and (iii) SHAP-based interpretability, which identifies cord twist direction as the dominant structural discriminator of imperial khipus. We further report two findings of methodological interest. First, one cluster is dominated not by a geographic region but by nineteenth-century European museum collections, indicating that colonial acquisition and recording practices are structurally encoded in the corpus. Second, we provide an independent computational verification of the recto/verso (moiety) structure of the six Santa Valley khipus reported by Medrano and Urton (2018), reproducing both the aggregate attachment ratio and the identification of the single mixed specimen--using only the public OKR database, without physical access to the objects. We additionally report a negative result: knot-type sequence order, encoded as n-grams, adds no provenance signal beyond aggregate features. All code and data are openly available.

We propose a statistical methodology that quantifies the similarity of typefaces between printed historical books. This provides a tool that accelerates philological analysis. Using character prototypes derived from clustering and aligning automatically extracted character images, the method defines a typeface distance between any two books. To produce actionable outputs, we develop an a contrario statistical framework to interpret the significance of the computed typeface distances. We apply the method to the philological study of 17 th -century Spanish printed theatre chapbooks in a quantity that exceeds the capabilities of systematic visual inspection by human experts. Our method enables the automatic comparison of Roman and Italic types extracted from different books. After validation by human experts, our method has led to new printer attributions being discovered, and former printer attributions being revised. This success strongly suggests that our method has the potential to enable digital bibliography on a larger scale than was previously possible.

Handwritten text recognition (HTR) for the registers of Pope Honorius III depends on modern expert transcriptions, which exist only for regnal years 1-2 of Reg. Vat. 9. For the remaining registers, nineteenth-century scholarship offers Pressutti's regesta and partial editions. On fol. 1-203, where both layers exist, we measure what this legacy layer can contribute, on transcriptions that we first audit against it, and find a division of labor across three tiers. At the orthographic tier, raw editions are at best neutral for adapting a recognizer to the second regnal year and harmful without replay, whereas projection onto curial spelling with replay of modern source lines turns them into zero-label adaptation targets: pooled over all 134 year-2 sides, the WER falls by 1.50 points (95% CI -1.84 to -1.15), closing 33% of the gap to an oracle; the spelling changes at the year split, through the scribe or the transcriber, whereas the hand changes visibly only at fol. 191r. At the lexical tier, the corpus-wide legacy lexicon contains 82.2% of the out-of-vocabulary words of unedited entries and flags recognition errors with 66.7% precision, and labels from pre-trained medieval NER models, distilled into the recognizer's NER head, reach F1 82.1% on an expert validated benchmark, level with the best tagger applied after recognition. At the topological tier, Pressutti's regests, the closing datum clauses, and the regests' dates converted to the chancery's Roman form find 73.9% of entry starts in the recognized line stream, and edition agreement estimates a CER of 7.80% beyond fol. 203. Antiquarian scholarship thus cannot replace modern transcription, but it can steer, check, and segment HTR across the untranscribed registers.