Overview

Anytime-valid inference studies how to make trustworthy statistical decisions when data are inspected repeatedly and the time to stop is chosen based on what has been observed. It replaces fixed-horizon tests with tools such as e-values and e-processes, betting martingales, and confidence sequences that control false alarms or maintain coverage at every time. These methods are used for sequential audits, model and leaderboard evaluation, selective prediction, streaming decisions, and performance certification, often aiming to save samples or computation through early stopping. A central challenge is balancing power and efficiency with guarantees whose assumptions—such as exchangeability, predictable sampling, or valid dependence models—may not hold in real adaptive systems.

Latest papers

CardsList

35 papers4 papers in the last four weeks, down 33% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. Learning to Bet for Horizon-Aware Anytime-Valid Testing

    Mar 20, 2026Ege Onur Taga, Samet Oymak, Shubhanshu ShekharAnytime-Valid Inference

  2. Bayes with No Shame: Admissibility Geometries of Predictive Inference

    Mar 5, 2026Nicholas G. Polson, Daniel ZantedeschiBayesian Decision TheoryAnytime-Valid Inference

  3. Towards Anytime-Valid Statistical Watermarking

    Feb 19, 2026Baihe Huang, Eric Xu, Kannan Ramchandran +2LLM WatermarkingAnytime-Valid Inference