Approximate Message Passing

Approximate message passing on factor graphs underlies two dominant families of probabilistic inference algorithms: expectation propagation (EP) and variational message passing (VMP). Both methods approximate the marginal at each factor edge, forcing an iterative round-robin schedule, risking negative-precision messages, and, for VMP, collapsing to point estimates at Dirac-delta factors. We introduce Direct Message Approximation (DMA), which approximates factor-to-variable messages directly rather than the marginal. For normalisable factors, we define a consistency condition (requiring exactness when all other incoming messages are Dirac deltas) to guide message construction. We prove a master theorem (proper messages, any graph) bounding marginal KL from message KL, with three structural corollaries: Dirac-input consistency, no EP-style inner-loop iteration, and no negative-precision messages. Further, we prove a complementary $O(1/r^2)$ guarantee for the inherently improper backward message of the product factor, whose closed-form treatment has resisted prior work. As a concrete instantiation, we derive explicit DMA messages for the product and leaky-ReLU factors and assemble a Bayesian neural network (BNN) inference algorithm with one forward/backward sweep per training example and no gradient learning-rate hyperparameter, validating that the structural guarantees translate to predictive uncertainty that widens in data-sparse regions, including under model mismatch.

Multimodal supervised learning seeks to leverage multiple heterogeneous data sources to improve predictive performance. A central challenge is determining the fusion granularity across modalities: over-integration may amplify noise while under-integration fails to exploit cross-modal dependence. Existing approaches rely on pre-specified fusion architectures, from early to late fusion, that may not adapt to the underlying dependence structure among modalities. We propose DAIF, a data adaptive intermediate fusion framework that combines random matrix theory and non-parametric dependence measures to learn fusion structure directly from data. We operate under a Bayesian multimodal factor model where the prior on the latent factors determines the cross-modal dependence. Our method clusters modalities based on estimated intermodal dependence, then performs clusterwise empirical Bayes estimation of the priors. These estimated priors are used to construct denoisers within an approximate message passing (AMP) framework, yielding denoised low-dimensional features that borrow strength across related modalities while preserving modality-specific signal. The resulting embeddings are used for downstream supervised prediction. We evaluate the framework through simulations under varying dependence structures and signal regimes, comparing against several benchmark methods, and demonstrate its practical utility on two multimodal datasets, namely a trimodal TEA-seq dataset (Swanson et al., 2021) and TCGA-BRCA dataset (Goldman et al., 2020). In the first example, we predict the expression level of a T-cell differentiation marker protein and in the second case we analyze patient survival prediction based on multimodal information. Our method competes with or outperforms the state-of-the-art techniques in both prediction problems, demonstrating its versatility across diverse supervised learning tasks.

Modern machine learning models are trained by optimizing high-dimensional non-convex empirical risk functions. Such cost functions can have a multitude of local optima and yet, gradient-based optimization appears to converge to near-global optima. Within a simple supervised learning setting, we develop a precise picture of which parts of the empirical risk landscape are accessible by polynomial-time algorithms. We are given i.i.d. pairs $\{(\boldsymbol{x}_i,y_i):\; 1 \le i\le n\}$ with $\boldsymbol{x}_i\in \mathbb{R}^d$ standard Gaussian feature vectors, and $y_i\in\mathbb{R}$ response variables that depend on $\boldsymbol{x}_i$ through their projections on an unknown $k$-dimensional subspace. We use empirical risk minimization to learn a model that depends on an $m$-dimensional projection of the data (e.g., an $m$-neurons neural network). We propose an incremental approximate message passing (IAMP) algorithm and precisely characterize the training error it achieves, as well as the relation between test and training error, in the high dimensional asymptotics $n,d\to\infty$, with $n/d\toα\in (0, +\infty)$. Based on earlier work in related models, we expect that the performance achieved by our algorithm is optimal among polynomial-time algorithms.

We present a simple and efficient algorithm for robust approximate message passing (AMP) in the spiked matrix setting. In particular, let $\varepsilon$ be a sufficiently small constant, and suppose that $X \in \mathbb R^{n \times n}$ is a Gaussian matrix with a planted rank-$1$ spike, and $E \in \mathbb R^{n \times n}$ is an adversarially chosen matrix supported on an $\varepsilon n \times \varepsilon n$ principal minor. Let $v_{\mathrm{AMP}}(X)$ be the output of an AMP iteration on the uncorrupted matrix $X$. We give a procedure that, given access only to the corrupted matrix $Y = X + E$, computes a vector $v_{\mathrm{ALG}}(Y)$ which is $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{\varepsilon})$-close to $v_{\mathrm{AMP}}(X)$, for any of a class of AMP iterations which includes sparse Principal Component Analysis (PCA), non-negative PCA, and $\mathbb Z_2$ synchronization. Our algorithm consists of a spectral pre-processing step combined with a robust spectral initialization procedure; given these inputs, we prove that (perhaps surprisingly) AMP is robust out-of-the-box.

We study high-dimensional LASSO under differential privacy via objective perturbation with heterogeneous covariate scales. In practical scenarios, covariates often exhibit diverse scales; however, standard preprocessing is problematic under privacy constraints, as it consumes additional privacy budget. This heterogeneity induces effective anisotropy in the objective perturbation via the inverse Gram matrix of covariates, which can degrade the stability and accuracy of algorithms. To address this, we propose a Gram-based anisotropic objective perturbation, a ``pre-distortion" strategy that counteracts the distortion from the covariate structure to restore isotropy in the estimation process. Using an Approximate Message Passing (AMP) framework and state evolution analysis, we demonstrate that our proposed perturbation significantly stabilizes convergence and improves both statistical efficiency and privacy performance compared to standard uniform noise injection. Our results provide theoretical insights into designing stable and efficient private estimators without relying on data-dependent preprocessing.

In modern parametric model training, full-batch gradient descent (and its variants) suffers due to progressively stronger biasing towards the exact realization of training data; this drives the systematic ``generalization gap'', where the train error becomes an unreliable proxy for test error. Existing approaches either argue this gap is benign through complex analysis or sacrifice data to a validation set. In contrast, we introduce decoupled descent (DD), a novel theory-based training algorithm that satisfies a train-test identity -- enforcing the train error to asymptotically track the test error for stylized Gaussian mixture models. Within this specific regime, leveraging approximate message passing theory, DD iteratively cancels the biases due to data reuse, rigorously demonstrating the feasibility of zero-cost validation and $100\%$ data utilization. Moreover, DD is governed by a low-dimensional state evolution recursion, rendering the dynamics of the algorithm transparent and tractable. We validate DD on XOR classification, yielding superior performance compared to GD; additionally, we implement noisy MNIST and non-linear probing of CIFAR-10, demonstrating that even when our stylized assumptions are relaxed, DD narrows the generalization gap compared to GD.

General first-order methods (GFOM) are a flexible class of iterative algorithms which update a state vector by matrix-vector multiplications and entrywise nonlinearities. A long line of work has sought to understand the large-n dynamics of GFOM, mostly focusing on "very random" input matrices and the approximate message passing (AMP) special case of GFOM whose state is asymptotically Gaussian. Yet, it has long remained unknown how to construct iterative algorithms that retain this Gaussianity for more structured inputs, or why existing AMP algorithms can be as effective for some deterministic matrices as they are for random matrices. We analyze diagrammatic expansions of GFOM via the limiting traffic distribution of the input matrix, the collection of all limiting values of permutation-invariant polynomials in the matrix entries, to obtain the following results: 1. We calculate the traffic distribution for the first non-trivial deterministic matrices, including (minor variants of) the Walsh-Hadamard and discrete sine and cosine transform matrices. This determines the limiting dynamics of GFOM on these inputs, resolving parts of longstanding conjectures of Marinari, Parisi, and Ritort (1994). 2. We design a new AMP iteration which unifies several previous AMP variants and generalizes to new input types, whose limiting dynamics are Gaussian conditional on some latent random variables. The asymptotic dynamics hold for a large and natural class of traffic distributions (encompassing both random and deterministic input matrices) and the algorithm's analysis gives a simple combinatorial interpretation of the Onsager correction, answering questions posed recently by Wang, Zhong, and Fan (2022).

We study privacy-preserving sparse linear regression in the high-dimensional regime, focusing on the LASSO estimator. We analyze two widely used mechanisms for differential privacy: output perturbation, which injects noise into the estimator, and objective perturbation, which adds a random linear term to the loss function. Using approximate message passing (AMP), we characterize the typical behavior of these estimators under random design and privacy noise. To quantify privacy, we adopt typical-case measures, including the on-average KL divergence, which admits a hypothesis-testing interpretation in terms of distinguishability between neighboring datasets. Our analysis reveals that sparsity plays a central role in shaping the privacy-accuracy trade-off: stronger regularization can improve privacy by stabilizing the estimator against single-point data changes. We further show that the two mechanisms exhibit qualitatively different behaviors. In particular, for objective perturbation, increasing the noise level can have non-monotonic effects, and excessive noise may destabilize the estimator, leading to increased sensitivity to data perturbations. Our results demonstrate that AMP provides a powerful framework for analyzing privacy-accuracy trade-offs in high-dimensional sparse models.

Dynamical Mean Field Theory (DMFT) provides an asymptotic description of the dynamics of macroscopic observables in certain disordered systems. Originally pioneered in the context of spin glasses by Sompolinsky and Zippelius (1982), it has since been used to derive asymptotic dynamical equations for a wide range of models in physics, high-dimensional statistics and machine learning. One of the main tools used by physicists to obtain these equations is the dynamical cavity method, which has remained largely non-rigorous. In contrast, existing mathematical formalizations have relied on alternative approaches, including Gaussian conditioning, large deviations over paths, or Fourier analysis. In this work, we formalize the dynamical cavity method and use it to give a new proof of the DMFT equations for General First Order Methods, a broad class of dynamics encompassing algorithms such as Gradient Descent and Approximate Message Passing.

Mean-field characterizations of first-order iterative algorithms -- including Approximate Message Passing (AMP), stochastic and proximal gradient descent, and Langevin diffusions -- have enabled a precise understanding of learning dynamics in many statistical applications. For algorithms whose non-linearities have a coordinate-separable form, it is known that such characterizations enjoy a degree of universality with respect to the underlying data distribution. However, mean-field characterizations of non-separable algorithm dynamics have largely remained restricted to i.i.d. Gaussian or rotationally-invariant data. In this work, we initiate a study of universality for non-separable AMP algorithms. We identify a general condition for AMP with polynomial non-linearities, in terms of a Bounded Composition Property (BCP) for their representing tensors, to admit a state evolution that holds universally for matrices with non-Gaussian entries. We then formalize a condition of BCP-approximability for Lipschitz AMP algorithms to enjoy a similar universal guarantee. We demonstrate that many common classes of non-separable non-linearities are BCP-approximable, including local denoisers, spectral denoisers for generic signals, and compositions of separable functions with generic linear maps, implying the universality of state evolution for AMP algorithms employing these non-linearities.