Distribution Shift Detection

Overview

Distribution shift detection studies whether incoming data, model inputs, or model behavior differ from a reference, and whether those changes threaten reliable predictions. Methods range from statistical tests such as Kolmogorov–Smirnov, maximum mean discrepancy, and change-point scans to representation-based OOD scores, conformal tests, and online betting martingales. Work spans image and language OOD benchmarks, time-series and tabular streams, and deployed systems, with growing attention to locating affected subgroups and triggering adaptation only when needed. A central challenge is balancing sensitivity and detection speed against false alarms, especially under high-dimensional shifts, changing data sources, and shifts that are detectable but harmless—or harmful yet difficult to detect.

Latest papers

63 papers13 papers in the last four weeks, up 333% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Feb 23, 2026

Drift Localization using Conformal Predictions

Concept drift -- the change of the distribution over time -- poses significant challenges for learning systems and is of central interest for monitoring. Understanding drift is thus paramount, and drift localization -- determining which samples are affected by the drift -- is essential. While several approaches exist, most rely on local testing schemes, which tend to fail in high-dimensional, low-signal settings. In this work, we consider a fundamentally different approach based on conformal predictions. We discuss and show the shortcomings of common approaches and demonstrate the performance of our approach on state-of-the-art image datasets.
Feb 7, 2026

TASTE: Task-Aware Out-of-Distribution Detection via Stein Operators

Out-of-distribution detection methods are often either data-centric, detecting deviations from the training input distribution irrespective of their effect on a trained model, or model-centric, relying on classifier outputs without explicit reference to data geometry. We propose TASTE (Task-Aware STEin operators): a task-aware framework based on so-called Stein operators, which links distribution shift to the input sensitivity of the model. The resulting operators admit a geometric interpretation as a projection of distribution shift onto the sensitivity field of the model, with theoretical guarantees. Beyond detecting a shift, the construction enables its localisation through a coordinate-wise decomposition, and - for image data - provides interpretable per-pixel diagnostics. Experiments on controlled Gaussian shifts, MNIST under geometric perturbations, and CIFAR-10/ImageNet-1K perturbed benchmarks demonstrate that TASTE aligns closely with task degradation while showing competitive performance compared to established baselines, with gains that depend on the shift regime.
May 2, 2025

EmbodiTTA: Resource-Efficient Test-Time Adaptation for Embodied Visual Systems

Continual Test-time adaptation (CTTA) continuously adapts the deployed model on every incoming batch of data. While achieving optimal accuracy, existing CTTA approaches present poor real-world applicability on resource-constrained edge devices, due to the substantial memory overhead and energy consumption. In this work, we first introduce a novel paradigm -- on-demand TTA -- which triggers adaptation only when a significant domain shift is detected. Then, we present OD-TTA, an on-demand TTA framework for accurate and efficient adaptation on edge devices. OD-TTA comprises three innovative techniques: 1) a lightweight domain shift detection mechanism to activate TTA only when it is needed, drastically reducing the overall computation overhead, 2) a source domain selection module that chooses an appropriate source model for adaptation, ensuring high and robust accuracy, 3) a decoupled Batch Normalization (BN) update scheme to enable memory-efficient adaptation with small batch sizes. Extensive experiments show that OD-TTA achieves comparable and even better performance while reducing the energy and computation overhead remarkably, making TTA a practical reality.