Imperfect-Information Games

We present a finite-sample analysis of decentralized learning in two-player zero-sum matrix games and stochastic games, with a focus on best-response-based learning algorithms. In matrix games, the learning algorithm is payoff-based and symmetric: each player updates its policy using only its own payoff observations, incrementally moving toward an estimated smoothed best response to the opponent's latest policy. For stochastic games, we build on this matrix-game primitive to develop a learning algorithm called value iteration with smoothed best response (VI-SBR), which combines smoothed-best-response learning in induced matrix games with a decentralized, model-free approximation of minimax value iteration. We establish finite-sample guarantees in both settings. For matrix games, our results imply a sample complexity of $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-1})$ for finding an $ε$-Nash distribution and, with explicit exploration, $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-8})$ for finding an $ε$-Nash equilibrium. For stochastic games, we prove that the exploration-enhanced VI-SBR algorithm achieves a sample complexity of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-8})$ for finding an $ε$-Nash equilibrium. Technically, our analysis develops a coupled Lyapunov-drift framework. This framework simultaneously handles stochastic iterative algorithms with multiple interacting stochastic iterates, the non-zero-sum auxiliary games generated by independently updated value functions, and the time-inhomogeneous Markovian noise induced by time-varying policies. The resulting tools may be useful more broadly for analyzing learning algorithms with coupled stochastic iterates and nonstationary sampling processes.

Imperfect Information Games (IIGs) are used to model games under uncertainty or lack complete information. Counterfactual Regret Minimization (CFR) is one of the most successful families of algorithms for IIGs. The integration of skill-based strategy learning with CFR could potentially mirror more human-like decision-making and improve learning on complex IIGs. It enables the learning of a hierarchical strategy, wherein low-level components represent skills for solving subgames and the high-level component manages the transition between skills. In this paper, we introduce the first hierarchical version of Deep CFR (HDCFR), an innovative method that boosts learning efficiency in tasks involving extensively large state spaces and deep game trees. Notably, HDCFR enables learning with predefined (human) expertise and extracting skills transferable to similar tasks. We first present the algorithm and establish its theory in a tabular setting, including hierarchical CFR update rules and a variance-reduced Monte Carlo sampling extension for the model-free setting, where backtracking is infeasible. We then extend HDCFR to large-scale tasks via deep learning objectives that match the tabular targets under exact function fitting. Code: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/HDCFR_RUN-677B.

While Nash equilibrium has emerged as the central game-theoretic solution concept, many important games contain several Nash equilibria and we must determine how to select between them in order to create real strategic agents. Several Nash equilibrium refinement concepts have been proposed and studied for sequential imperfect-information games, the most prominent being trembling-hand perfect equilibrium, quasi-perfect equilibrium, and recently one-sided quasi-perfect equilibrium. These concepts are robust to certain arbitrarily small mistakes, and are guaranteed to always exist; however, we argue that neither of these is the correct concept for developing strong agents in sequential games of imperfect information. We define a new equilibrium refinement concept for extensive-form games called observable perfect equilibrium in which the solution is robust over trembles in publicly-observable action probabilities (not necessarily over all action probabilities that may not be observable by opposing players). Observable perfect equilibrium correctly captures the assumption that the opponent is playing as rationally as possible given mistakes that have been observed (while previous solution concepts do not). We prove that observable perfect equilibrium is always guaranteed to exist, and demonstrate that it leads to a different solution than the prior extensive-form refinements in no-limit poker. We expect observable perfect equilibrium to be a useful equilibrium refinement concept for modeling many important imperfect-information games of interest in artificial intelligence.

We study bimatrix two-player games and investigate the last-iterate convergence and stability of equilibria for the iterates generated by the optimistic exponential weights method. In contrast to prior work, we allow the step sizes $\eta_x$ and $\eta_y$ to differ. Our first main result establishes, under the assumption that the set of fixed points is finite, a sufficient condition for global last-iterate convergence in the special case of zero-sum games, which constrains only the product $\eta_x\eta_y$ of the step sizes. This condition is practically relevant and partially explains empirically observed behavior. Our second main result provides an almost-tight threshold for asymptotic stability and instability, again in terms of products of the step sizes, for general bimatrix games. This result is primarily of theoretical interest. We derive several known results and practically relevant step size bounds for special cases and illustrate our results by experiments.