We consider the effect of Gaussian perturbations on least-squares residuals, orthogonal projections, and QR-type algorithms. The problem that motivated our investigations is as follows: suppose that a full column-rank matrix
B∈Rm×n has already been computed, and suppose that a new normalized column
q=(x+y)/∥x+y∥2 is to be appended to
B, where
x⊥span(B) is the ideal orthogonal component and
y represents the orthogonalization error. How large can the condition number
κ([B,q]) of the resulting matrix
[B,q] become? While we provide a Weyl-type bound on the singular values of
[B,q], in terms of the extremal singular values of
B and the quantity
∥BTy∥2/∥x+y∥2, we also derive exact probability laws for norms and projection residuals under Gaussian perturbations. Finally, we use these probability laws to derive probabilistic condition-number bounds for QR-type processes with imperfect orthogonalization and exact normalization.