Task Transferability Estimation

The goal of domain adaptation is to make predictions for unlabeled samples from a target domain with the help of labeled samples from a different but related source domain. The performance of domain adaptation methods is highly influenced by the choice of source domain and pre-trained feature extractor. However, the selection of source data and pre-trained model is not trivial due to the absence of a labeled validation set for the target domain and the large number of available pre-trained models. In this work, we propose PAS, a novel score designed to estimate the transferability of a source domain set and a pre-trained feature extractor to a target classification task before actually performing domain adaptation. PAS leverages the generalization power of pre-trained models and assesses source-target compatibility based on the pre-trained feature embeddings. We integrate PAS into a framework that indicates the most relevant pre-trained model and source domain among multiple candidates, thus improving target accuracy while reducing the computational overhead. Extensive experiments on image classification benchmarks demonstrate that PAS correlates strongly with actual target accuracy and consistently guides the selection of the best-performing pre-trained model and source domain for adaptation.

Multi-task learning shows strikingly inconsistent results -- sometimes joint training helps substantially, sometimes it actively harms performance -- yet the field lacks a principled framework for predicting these outcomes. We identify a fundamental but unstated assumption underlying gradient-based task analysis: tasks must share training instances for gradient conflicts to reveal genuine relationships. When tasks are measured on the same inputs, gradient alignment reflects shared mechanistic structure; when measured on disjoint inputs, any apparent signal conflates task relationships with distributional shift. We discover this sample overlap requirement exhibits a sharp phase transition: below 30% overlap, gradient-task correlations are statistically indistinguishable from noise; above 40%, they reliably recover known biological structure. Comprehensive validation across multiple datasets achieves strong correlations and recovers biological pathway organization. Standard benchmarks systematically violate this requirement -- MoleculeNet operates at <5% overlap, TDC at 8-14% -- far below the threshold where gradient analysis becomes meaningful. This provides the first principled explanation for seven years of inconsistent MTL results.

Cross-domain reinforcement learning (CDRL) is meant to improve the data efficiency of RL by leveraging the data samples collected from a source domain to facilitate the learning in a similar target domain. Despite its potential, cross-domain transfer in RL is known to have two fundamental and intertwined challenges: (i) The source and target domains can have distinct state space or action space, and this makes direct transfer infeasible and thereby requires more sophisticated inter-domain mappings; (ii) The transferability of a source-domain model in RL is not easily identifiable a priori, and hence CDRL can be prone to negative effect during transfer. In this paper, we propose to jointly tackle these two challenges through the lens of cross-domain Bellman consistency and hybrid critic. Specifically, we first introduce the notion of cross-domain Bellman consistency as a way to measure transferability of a source-domain model. Then, we propose $Q$Avatar, which combines the Q functions from both the source and target domains with an adaptive hyperparameter-free weight function. Through this design, we characterize the convergence behavior of $Q$Avatar and show that $Q$Avatar achieves reliable transfer in the sense that it effectively leverages a source-domain Q function for knowledge transfer to the target domain. Through experiments, we demonstrate that $Q$Avatar achieves favorable transferability across various RL benchmark tasks, including locomotion and robot arm manipulation. Our code is available at https://rl-bandits-lab.github.io/Cross-Domain-RL/.

In recent years, pre-trained large language models have achieved remarkable success across diverse tasks. Besides the pivotal role of self-supervised pre-training, their effectiveness in downstream applications also depends critically on the post-training process, which adapts models to task-specific data and objectives. However, this process inevitably introduces model shifts that can influence performance in different domains, and how such shifts transfer remains poorly understood. To open up the black box, we propose the SAE-based Transferability Score (STS), a new metric that leverages sparse autoencoders (SAEs) to forecast post-training transferability. Taking supervised fine-tuning as an example, STS identifies shifted dimensions in SAE representations and calculates their correlations with downstream domains, enabling reliable estimation of transferability before fine-tuning. Extensive experiments across multiple models and domains show that STS accurately predicts the transferability of supervised fine-tuning, achieving Pearson correlation coefficients above 0.7 with actual performance changes. Beyond this, we take an initial step toward extending STS to reinforcement learning. We believe that STS can serve as an {\color{black} interpretable} tool for guiding post-training strategies in LLMs. Code is available at https://github.com/PKU-ML/STS.

The advent of large-scale self-supervised learning (SSL) has produced a vast zoo of medical foundation models. However, selecting optimal medical foundation models for specific segmentation tasks remains a computational bottleneck. Existing Transferability Estimation (TE) metrics, primarily designed for classification, rely on global statistical assumptions and fail to capture the topological complexity essential for dense prediction. We propose a novel Topology-Driven Transferability Estimation framework that evaluates manifold tractability rather than statistical overlap. Our approach introduces three components: (1) Global Representation Topology Divergence (GRTD), utilizing Minimum Spanning Trees to quantify feature-label structural isomorphism; (2) Local Boundary-Aware Topological Consistency (LBTC), which assesses manifold separability specifically at critical anatomical boundaries; and (3) Task-Adaptive Fusion, which dynamically integrates global and local metrics based on the semantic cardinality of the target task. Validated on the large-scale OpenMind benchmark across diverse anatomical targets and SSL foundation models, our approach significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines by around 31% relative improvement in the weighted Kendall metric, providing a robust, training-free proxy for efficient model selection without the cost of fine-tuning. The code will be made publicly available upon acceptance.

A fundamental problem in multi-task learning (MTL) is identifying groups of tasks that should be learned together. Since training MTL models for all possible combinations of tasks is prohibitively expensive for large task sets, a crucial component of efficient and effective task grouping is predicting whether a group of tasks would benefit from learning together, measured as per-task performance gain over single-task learning. In this paper, we propose ETAP (Ensemble Task Affinity Predictor), a scalable framework that integrates principled and data-driven estimators to predict MTL performance gains. First, we consider the gradient-based updates of shared parameters in an MTL model to measure the affinity between a pair of tasks as the similarity between the parameter updates based on these tasks. This linear estimator, which we call affinity score, naturally extends to estimating affinity within a group of tasks. Second, to refine these estimates, we train predictors that apply non-linear transformations and correct residual errors, capturing complex and non-linear task relationships. We train these predictors on a limited number of task groups for which we obtain ground-truth gain values via multi-task learning for each group. We demonstrate on benchmark datasets that ETAP improves MTL gain prediction and enables more effective task grouping, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines across diverse application domains.

While open sourced Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have proliferated, selecting the optimal pretrained model for a specific downstream task remains challenging. Exhaustive evaluation is often infeasible due to computational constraints and data limitations in few shot scenarios. Existing selection methods fail to fully address this: they either rely on data-intensive proxies or use symmetric textual descriptors that neglect the inherently directional and model-specific nature of transferability. To address this problem, we propose a framework that grounds model selection in the internal functional dynamics of the visual encoder. Our approach represents each task via layer wise conductance and derives a target-conditioned block importance distribution through entropy regularized alignment. Building on this, we introduce Directional Conductance Divergence (DCD), an asymmetric metric that quantifies how effectively a source task covers the target's salient functional blocks. This allows for predicting target model rankings by aggregating source task ranks without direct inference. Experimental results on 48 VLMs across 21 datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving a 14.7% improvement in NDCG@5 over SWAB.

Do visual tasks have a relationship, or are they unrelated? For instance, could having surface normals simplify estimating the depth of an image? Intuition answers these questions positively, implying existence of a structure among visual tasks. Knowing this structure has notable values; it is the concept underlying transfer learning and provides a principled way for identifying redundancies across tasks, e.g., to seamlessly reuse supervision among related tasks or solve many tasks in one system without piling up the complexity. We proposes a fully computational approach for modeling the structure of space of visual tasks. This is done via finding (first and higher-order) transfer learning dependencies across a dictionary of twenty six 2D, 2.5D, 3D, and semantic tasks in a latent space. The product is a computational taxonomic map for task transfer learning. We study the consequences of this structure, e.g. nontrivial emerged relationships, and exploit them to reduce the demand for labeled data. For example, we show that the total number of labeled datapoints needed for solving a set of 10 tasks can be reduced by roughly 2/3 (compared to training independently) while keeping the performance nearly the same. We provide a set of tools for computing and probing this taxonomical structure including a solver that users can employ to devise efficient supervision policies for their use cases.