Overview

Variance reduction studies how to make noisy estimates—such as gradients, Monte Carlo expectations, policy values, and experiment effects—more precise without simply collecting more samples. Common approaches include control variates, recursive estimators such as SVRG and STORM, importance and stratified sampling, and Rao-Blackwellization or shared randomness. The methods are studied in finite-sum optimization and sampling as well as reinforcement learning, diffusion-model training, Bayesian computation, and A/B testing, with evaluations often measuring variance, sample complexity, or convergence. A central tension is that lower estimator variance may require extra computation or stronger assumptions, and minimizing variance alone does not always improve downstream outcomes such as model quality.

Latest papers

CardsList

107 papers19 papers in the last four weeks, up 90% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

  1. Beyond ReinMax: Low-Variance Gradient Estimators for Discrete Latent Variables

    Mar 9, 2026Daniel Wang, Thang D. BuiStraight-Through EstimatorVariance Reduction

  2. Variance reduction in lattice QCD observables via normalizing flows

    Mar 3, 2026Ryan Abbott, Denis Boyda, Yang Fu +5Lattice Field TheoryVariance Reduction

  3. Conditional neural control variates for variance reduction in Bayesian inverse problems

    Feb 24, 2026Ali Siahkoohi, Hyunwoo OhVariance ReductionBayesian Inverse Problems

  4. Understanding the Generalization of Bilevel Programming in Hyperparameter Optimization: A Tale of Bias-Variance Decomposition

    Feb 20, 2026Yubo Zhou, Jun Shu, Junmin Liu +1Hypergradient OptimizationHyperparameter Optimization

  5. Stable Asynchrony: Variance-Controlled Off-Policy RL for LLMs

    Feb 19, 2026Luke J. Huang, Zhuoyang Zhang, Qinghao Hu +2RL for Language ModelsAsynchronous RL

  6. Additive Control Variates Dominate Self-Normalisation in Off-Policy Evaluation

    Feb 16, 2026Olivier Jeunen, Shashank GuptaOff-Policy EvaluationVariance Reduction

  7. Stable Velocity: A Variance Perspective on Flow Matching

    Feb 5, 2026Donglin Yang, Yongxing Zhang, Xin Yu +5Flow MatchingImage Generation

  8. Control Variate Design for Score-Function Gradient Estimators in Importance-Weighted Variational Inference

    Feb 1, 2026Kamélia Daudel, Minh-Ngoc Tran, Cheng ZhangVariational InferenceVariance Reduction

  9. Breaking the Stochasticity Barrier: An Adaptive Variance-Reduced Method for Variational Inequalities

    Jan 30, 2026Yungi Jeong, Takumi OtsukaNonconvex Stochastic OptimizationStochastic Optimization Convergence

  10. It's all In the (Exponential) Family: An Equivalence between Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Control Variates for Sketching Algorithms

    Jan 29, 2026Keegan Kang, Kerong Wang, Ding Zhang +3Parameter EstimationExponential Family

  11. Variance Reduction for Stochastic Switching in Functionally Constrained Federated Optimization

    Jan 23, 2026Antesh Upadhyay, Sang Bin Moon, Zhankun Luo +1Federated LearningStochastic Optimization

  12. Systematic Hazard Sampling: Minimal-Variance Inference for Discrete Diffusion and Flow Models

    Jan 6, 2026Seunghwan Jang, Wonje Jeung, SooJean HanMarkov ModelsDiffusion Sampling

  13. Control Variate Score Matching for Diffusion Models

    Dec 23, 2025Khaled Kahouli, Romuald Elie, Klaus-Robert Müller +3Score MatchingSampling from Unnormalized Distributions

  14. Gaussian Invariant Markov Chain Monte Carlo

    Jun 26, 2025Michalis K. Titsias, Angelos Alexopoulos, Siran Liu +1Markov Chain Monte CarloVariance Reduction

  15. Variance Reduction for Independent Metropolis

    Jun 25, 2024Siran Liu, Petros Dellaportas, Michalis K. TitsiasIndependent Metropolis-HastingsMarkov Chain Monte Carlo

  16. Unified Convergence Theory of Stochastic and Variance-Reduced Cubic Newton Methods

    Feb 23, 2023El Mahdi Chayti, Martin Jaggi, Nikita DoikovSecond-Order OptimizationStochastic Optimization Convergence