Modern machine learning models excel at detecting individual actions, sounds, or scene attributes from short, localized observations. However, many real-world tasks, such as in smart cities and healthcare, require reasoning over high-level complex events (CEs): spatiotemporal, rule-governed patterns of short-term atomic events (AEs). Complex event detection (CED) is challenging due to long temporal dependencies, generalization beyond the training horizon, sparse CE-level supervision without temporally aligned fine-grained AE labels, and cognitively demanding annotation, as CE labels often depend on ordering, duration, negation, and completion-time semantics. These challenges are further amplified in an online setting that requires causal, streaming inference with limited computation. We identify the primary bottleneck in online CED as learning robust CE rules, and propose a Neural Algorithmic Reasoning framework that decouples rule learning from low-level sensor semantics by (i) generating large-scale synthetic AE-level concept traces to pretrain a Mamba-based CE-rule reasoner, and (ii) introducing an adapter that learns to map raw sensor inputs into the reasoner's latent space using limited, labeled sensor data. We introduce a controlled simulator-generated online multilabel CED testbed built from real-world multimodal sensor clips and rule-generated CE labels, with stress-test settings that vary sensor noise, distribution shift, and the window size used to segment streaming sensor sequences. Experiments on this controlled benchmark show that NAROCE is competitive with the strongest baselines and often outperforms them under these stress tests and longer-horizon generalization, while using 5x fewer labeled sensor sequences and 10-20x fewer FLOPs than all non-Mamba baselines. Code and dataset available at https://github.com/nesl/naroce_dailyoce.
High-complexity operational environments require methods that characterize temporally distributed patterns rather than classify isolated events. This paper introduces TRACTA (Temporal Reasoning and Capability-Trajectory Analysis), a knowledge-aligned synthetic benchmark for temporal structural reasoning, instantiated through Multi-Domain Operations (MDO)-like scenarios. TRACTA defines offline structural annotations over contextual direct-impact and accumulated capability trajectories and evaluates three tasks: early_warning, pattern_detection, and run_classification. The frozen comparison includes raw-event neural references, a contract-lite rule comparator, and a recurrent semantic-input reference. The semantic-input recurrent reference has the highest aggregate macro-F1 point estimates, with the largest margins on the two temporal tasks, while raw-event references remain predictive and lead in four individual early-warning target--lead settings. Component-zeroing diagnostics show that both semantic trajectory blocks contain useful signal within the evaluated recurrent configuration. Run-local aliasing removes stable cross-run target and location identities from the primary raw input, although executed diagnostics retain shallow predictivity. These results are configuration-level: semantic inputs are aligned with the benchmark's target-generation space, and the evaluated systems also differ in architecture, training, and available information. TRACTA therefore provides a reproducible testbed for examining knowledge-aligned temporal prediction, not evidence of a causal representation advantage, statistically resolved superiority, or operational readiness.
Michael Romei De Socio, Gian Luca Pozzato, Alessio Merlo
Event-centric intelligent analytical systems heavily depend on explicit causal event knowledge for risk early warning, decision-making support and narrative comprehension. Nevertheless, existing instance-level causal pairs suffer severe generalization deficits on low-frequency long-tail and unseen event combinations. To address this limitation, this work proposes Abstract Event Causal Rule (AECR), a novel relation-level causal abstraction paradigm that transforms concrete cause-effect pairs into generalized abstract causal logic while retaining their intrinsic causal relationships. We design a multi-agent Concrete-to-Abstract Causal Induction (CACI) system coupled with similarity-constrained clustering to distill trustworthy AECRs from noisy raw causal data, based on which two complete AECR knowledge bases are built. To validate the practical utility of abstract causal knowledge, we propose an Abstract Rule-Guided Causal Attention Encoder (AR-GCAE), which injects the retrieved AECRs into the causality Graph Event Prediction (CGEP) benchmark task via rule-guided attention layers and gated representation fusion. Quantitative experimental results reveal that applying AECRs substantially strengthens the generalization capacity of event causal reasoning and brings consistent performance improvements to event prediction, with the most prominent gains observed on rare and unseen event samples.
The rapid advancement of generative models has made synthetic images increasingly realistic, challenging reliable detection. Existing methods are often limited to end-to-end classification or monolithic reasoning, and thus fail to model structured forensic reasoning and heterogeneous visual evidence. We revisit synthetic image detection from a cognitive perspective and propose a \textit{Heuristic-to-Reasoning} cognitive skill learning framework for evidence-based forensic analysis. Given an input image, our framework first extracts heuristic perceptual clues, selects the optimal forensic skill, and then performs skill-conditioned reasoning for evidence extraction and decision making. To support this paradigm, we introduce \textbf{ClueAegis-Bench}, which decomposes synthetic image detection into explicitly annotated forensic cognitive skills for structured evaluation beyond binary classification. Based on this benchmark, we propose \textbf{ClueAegis} (\underline{C}ognitive-skill \underline{L}earning for \underline{U}nified \underline{E}vidence-based Synthetic Image Detection), a two-stage agentic framework that conducts heuristic skill selection followed by evidence-guided reasoning through skill-conditioned toolchains. This design reformulates synthetic image detection as a configurable multi-skill reasoning process that bridges perception, skill selection, and forensic reasoning. Extensive experiments show that ClueAegis achieves state-of-the-art performance while improving cross-domain generalization and robustness. It also provides transparent reasoning trajectories and structured forensic evidence, offering a more explainable alternative to conventional end-to-end detectors.