cs.AIJan 28, 2026

Bayesian-LoRA: Probabilistic Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models

Authors: Moule Lin, Shuhao Guan, Andrea Patane, David Gregg, Goetz Botterweck

Organizations: School of Computer Science and Statistics, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland and Lero the Research Ireland Centre for Software, Ireland · School of Computer Science, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland

Abstract

Large Language Models usually put more emphasis on accuracy and therefore, will guess even when not certain about the prediction, which is especially severe when fine-tuned on small datasets due to the inherent tendency toward miscalibration. In this work, we introduce Bayesian-LoRA, which reformulates the deterministic LoRA update as a probabilistic low-rank representation inspired by Sparse Gaussian Processes. We identify a structural isomorphism between LoRA's factorization and Kronecker-factored SGP posteriors, and show that LoRA emerges as a limiting case when posterior uncertainty collapses. We conduct extensive experiments on various LLM architectures across commonsense reasoning benchmarks. With only approximately 0.42M additional parameters and ≈1.2×{\approx}1.2{\times} training cost relative to standard LoRA, Bayesian-LoRA significantly improves calibration across models up to 30B, achieving up to 84% ECE reduction and 76% NLL reduction while maintaining competitive accuracy for both in-distribution and out-of-distribution (OoD) evaluations.

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