The Verification Crisis: Expert Perceptions of GenAI Disinformation and the Case for Reproducible Provenance

Recent video generators can fabricate realistic depictions of wars, disasters, public emergencies, and other real-world crises, creating substantial risks of misinformation. Existing benchmarks, however, provide limited evidence on detector and generator behavior in such settings, including how detectability varies with generation conditions, how people perceive generated videos, and whether detectors remain reliable during social dissemination. To address this gap, we introduce RA-Bench, a benchmark for AI-generated video detection that uses Real videos as Anchors. RA-Bench contains 17,886 videos, comprising 1,830 real-video anchors across 10 social-risk categories and 16,056 generated clips from four open-source and five closed-source generators. Based on RA-Bench, we organize our evaluation along three dimensions. We first assess detector generalization across seven traditional detectors, ten zero-shot multimodal models under three review settings, and two MLLMs specifically fine-tuned on AI-generated video detection. Across these methods, none of the three detector families generalizes consistently across RA-Bench instances. We then examine how detectability varies with generation quality, conditioning information, and sampling seeds. These analyses show that generation properties affect detector families differently, while source-level detection patterns remain stable across seeds. Finally, we study human authenticity judgments and detector reliability during social dissemination. We find that videos that mislead people are also difficult for current detectors, and that social dissemination makes detection harder. Together, these findings show that current methods struggle to detect realistic AI-generated videos, highlighting the need for detectors robust to evolving video generators.

Recent generative models can now produce visual artifacts with realistic embedded text and layouts, creating a new misinformation threat: synthetic credibility. We introduce SYNCRED-Bench, a benchmark of 600 AI-generated misinformation images balanced across six credible-form categories and seven fine-grained circulation styles, together with FP450, a real-image negative set for measuring false positives. Extensive evaluation shows that existing systems remain unreliable: under a 5% false-positive-rate constraint, 15 MLLMs achieve only 10.5% true positive rate (TPR), open-source AIGC detectors achieve less than 5%, and commercial APIs reach 57.6%. Human annotators also struggled to identify synthetic credibility, reaching only 63% TPR. These findings establish synthetic credibility as a severe and underexplored visual misinformation challenge, and provide a benchmark for developing detectors that reason beyond superficial credibility cues.

The proliferation of adversarial synthetic content, accelerated by Generative AI (GenAI) is rendering traditional reactive detection methods ineffective. This survey synthesizes emerging research to demonstrate a paradigm shift toward the proactive detection of emerging inauthentic narratives. In this survey, we adopt a unified, lifecycle-based taxonomy to combine socio-technical lifecycle models of adversarial campaigns with advanced computational methodologies for emerging inauthentic narrative detection. By structuring the analysis around the C5 Interaction Model (Context, Causes, Content, Cycle of Amplification, Consequences), we integrate different research streams from machine learning and social science. To differentiate spread patterns of synthetic amplification from authentic baseline traffic, this paper surveys state-of-the-art techniques for modeling the creation, seeding, and propagation of fresh narratives, including the analysis of Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior (CIB), epidemiological modeling, and Hawkes process. This survey also provides a systematic review of proactive detection methods for adversarial threats at different stages in the C5 interaction model, specifically, anomaly detection in high-dimensional embedding spaces, unsupervised coordination detection on multi-layer graphs, and agentic AI systems. Finally, this survey addresses challenges posed by GenAI, including the difficulty of tracking rapidly changing threats and multi-level distributional drift, and it outlines a future research agenda focused on detecting anomalous clusters and building anticipatory and resilient systems. This survey provides a comprehensive, lifecycle-based review of methods for the proactive detection of emerging synthetic threats for more resilient information ecosystems.