Quantum machine learning models for sequential data face scalability challenges with complex multivariate signals. We introduce the Hybrid Quantum Temporal Convolutional Network (HQTCN), which combines classical temporal windowing with a quantum convolutional neural network core. By applying a shared quantum circuit across temporal windows, HQTCN captures long-range dependencies while achieving significant parameter reduction. Evaluated on synthetic NARMA sequences and high-dimensional EEG time-series, HQTCN performs competitively with classical baselines on univariate data and outperforms all baselines on multivariate tasks. The model demonstrates particular strength under data-limited conditions, maintaining high performance with substantially fewer parameters than conventional approaches. These results establish HQTCN as a parameter-efficient approach for multivariate time-series analysis.
Figures & tables
Fig. 1: Model Architectures. (a) A standalone QCNN with hierarchical quantum convolutional and pooling layers. (b) The proposed HQTCN, which applies a shared QCNN circuit over a temporal sliding window before aggregating the outputs.
Fig. 2: NARMA Time-Series Prediction Results. Comparison of HQTCN’s predictions (red) against the ground truth (gray) and other models on the NARMA test set. The zoomed-in view highlights the test-set performance.
Test Loss
# of Parameters
LSTM
0.0387 ± 0.0111
531
Transformer
0.0423 ± 0.0127
8,641
TCN
0.0380 ± 0.0032
10,785
QLSTM
0.0547 ± 0.0192
126
QCNN
0.0456 ± 0.0181
2,192
HQTCN
0.0487 ± 0.0193
312
TABLE I: NARMA Dataset Results. Comparison of mean test loss ( ± std. dev. over three seeds) and the number of trainable parameters for all models on the NARMA prediction task.
Performance-optimized
Parameter-constrained
Sample-constrained (N = 10)
Test AUROC
# of Parameters
Test AUROC
# of Parameters
Test AUROC
LSTM
0.7552 ± 0.0182
66,625
0.7657 ± 0.0178
5,265
0.6582 ± 0.0832
Transformer
0.7672 ± 0.0269
19,201
0.7618 ± 0.0261
7,729
0.6651 ± 0.0645
TCN
0.7815 ± 0.0296
49,985
0.7755 ± 0.0245
5,857
0.5875 ± 0.0528
QCNN
0.6649 ± 0.0342
127,760
0.6649 ± 0.0342
127,760
0.5112 ± 0.0072
HQTCN
0.7929 ± 0.0383
6,416
0.7929 ± 0.0383
6,416
0.6713 ± 0.0515
TABLE II: PhysioNet EEG Analysis Results. Test AUROC ( ± std. dev. over three seeds) and parameter counts for all models on the EEG classification task across performance-optimized, parameter-constrained, and sample-constrained (N=10) settings.
Dilation ( d )
Test AUROC
Receptive Field
d=1
0.7859±0.0509
12 time-steps
d=2
0.7882±0.0506
23 time-steps
d=3 (Baseline)
0.7929±0.0383
34 time-steps
d=4
0.7887±0.0479
45 time-steps
Depth ( L )
Test AUROC
Quantum Parameters
L=1
0.7888±0.0490
132
TABLE III: Ablation studies on PhysioNet EEG. We report Test AUROC ( ± std. dev. over three seeds) varying one hyperparameter while fixing others to baseline values ( d=3,L=2,n=8 ). Receptive field =d×(K−1)+1 , where K=12 .
Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) is a cornerstone for time series classification, but its reliance on Euclidean distances fails to capture latent cross-channel correlations in complex multivariate data. We propose a hybrid Quantum Dynamic Time Warping (qDTW) architecture, replacing the classical distance metric with the parameterized geometry of a quantum Hilbert space. Through structural ablation on benchmarks up to C=8 spatial dimensions, we establish fundamental topological rules for quantum sequence alignment. We introduce a Unified Pre-Embedding Adjoint Ansatz that decouples trainable entanglement from classical data, eliminating the severe phase-scrambling and information bottlenecks inherent to traditional measurements. We demonstrate this decoupled architecture allows untrained quantum kernels to act as highly expressive baselines, while parameterized training effectively untangles deeply overlapping hyper-dimensional data. Furthermore, we identify a strict spatial-temporal expressivity tradeoff: temporal depth (data re-uploading) is necessary for dimensionally restricted univariate circuits, but applying it to wide multi-qubit registers triggers chaotic frequency-spectrum explosions and representation collapse. By navigating these topological hazards, our multivariate quantum architecture outperforms classical baselines, setting a new standard for integrating parameterized quantum circuits with dynamic programming
Diego Alvarez-Estevez, Alejandro Mayorga-Redondo, Eduardo Mosqueira-Rey
CITIC Research Center · Universidade da Coruña · A Coruña, 15071, Spain
This paper presents a unified quantum-classical hybrid framework for multi-horizon time-series forecasting, introducing two model variants Quantum Reservoir Forecaster (QRC-F) and Variational Quantum Forecaster (VQF-F). The proposed framework investigates the complexity-fidelity trade-off of quantum forecasting under near-term NISQ hardware constraints. Continuous time-series signals are transformed into binary representations through uniform quantization and encoded into quantum states using angle encoding with parameterized RY rotation gates. Cross-channel entanglement layers capture dependencies among multiple variables. QRC-F utilizes a fixed random unitary quantum reservoir for stable, gradient-free temporal feature extraction, whereas VQF-F employs a trainable variational quantum circuit optimized through the parameter-shift rule to learn temporal and inter-variable patterns from Pauli expectation values. Both models replace computationally expensive quadratic self-attention with efficient linear transformations, reducing parameter complexity. A shared MIMO-based multi-horizon prediction head simultaneously generates forecasts across multiple horizons, avoiding error accumulation in recursive forecasting. Experimental evaluations on benchmark datasets, including ETTh1, ETTh2, ETTm1, ETTm2, Weather, electricity, and exchange-rate, demonstrate that VQF-F achieves superior training stability and parameter efficiency, while QRC-F provides enhanced robustness and circuit fidelity under quantum noise. The results establish a practical quantum-native forecasting framework with strong potential for deployment on near-term NISQ devices.
Sanjay Chakraborty, Fredrik Heintz
Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Techno International New Town, Kolkata, India
Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) predicts future values of multiple variables from historical data. While quantum neural networks have been increasingly applied to this task, they typically rely on fixed local measurements, which restrict their expressivity. We propose MTSF-ANO, a simple hybrid model for MTSF that integrates variational quantum circuits with adaptive non-local observables (ANO). On the four ETT datasets, MTSF-ANO ranks first or second in MSE in 17 of 20 settings, improving over the strongest baseline by up to 20% on ETTh1, and outperforms or matches its fixed local observable counterpart across all settings. Our ablations show how the quantum circuit design and ANO non-locality affect performance. These results suggest that ANO is a promising direction for quantum time series forecasting.
Yu-Ting Lee, Huan-Hsin Tseng, Samuel Yen-Chi Chen
Graduate Institute of Communication Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan · Brookhaven National Laboratory, AI & ML Department, Upton, NY, USA · Wells Fargo, New York, NY, USA