From Flat Logs to Causal Graphs: Hierarchical Failure Attribution for LLM-based Multi-Agent Systems

LLM-based multi-agent systems (MASs) are increasingly used to solve complex tasks through coordinated reasoning, tool use, and interaction with external resources. However, attributing failures in such systems remains challenging because the observed outcome often does not directly reveal the error responsible for the failed execution. In this work, the attribution target is the decisive error, defined as the agent--step pair whose correction would recover the failed execution. Existing approaches largely identify suspicious steps without explicitly modeling how errors propagate across interactions or persist in unresolved loops, making decisive errors difficult to distinguish from downstream failure symptoms. We propose Error-Propagation Modeling for Failure Attribution (EMFA). EMFA constructs a structured representation of the failed trajectory, models both cascading propagation and persistent interaction loops, and uses propagation-aware candidate screening followed by counterfactual verification to identify the decisive agent--step pair. On the Who&When benchmark, EMFA achieves state-of-the-art step-level attribution accuracy and remains competitive at the agent level. It improves the previous best step-level results by 3.45 and 4.40 percentage points on the Hand-Crafted and Algorithm-Generated subsets, respectively.

Large language model (LLM)-based multi-agent systems have experienced rapid growth in recent years. Despite their promise, such systems remain fragile, frequently exhibiting reasoning and coordination errors that can lead to system-level failures. Failure attribution in such systems relies on tracing natural language interactions among agents to identify the decisive error, which refers to the earliest action whose correction can reverse system failure. There are two key challenges: 1) Shallow attribution: Existing methods often capture only minor deviations, such as incomplete retrievals or formatting errors, which verification mechanisms can correct, while missing the decisive cause of system failure. 2) Contextual degradation: As the length of the system traces increases, the model's reasoning ability rapidly deteriorates. To address these challenges, we propose DCFA, a training-free framework for failure attribution. DCFA integrates a global module that constructs structured causal-inspired dependency graphs from system traces to identify the initial decisive error, and a local module that applies local counterfactual-inspired reasoning to refine causal-inspired attribution. Experiments on the Who&When benchmark across six LLMs show that DCFA improves step-level accuracy by up to 8.27% over state-of-the-art baselines.

Large language model-driven multi-agent systems (LLM-MAS) excel at complex tasks, yet unreliable agents remain a key bottleneck to system-level reliability. Automatic failure attribution is therefore critical, but existing approaches, such as direct prediction of agent-error pairs and agent-first failure attribution, rely on local logs of agents and miss global failures that only manifest over full interaction trajectories, such as cross-step inconsistencies and inter-agent coordination errors. Moreover, directly predicting failures induces a large combinatorial search space, hindering fine-grained attribution. To address these challenges, we propose VerifyMAS, a hypothesis verification framework for agent failure attribution. Instead of directly predicting faulty agents and error types, VerifyMAS formulates and verifies failure hypotheses against full trajectories. This verification-based approach decomposes attribution into trajectory-level error validation and fine-grained agent localization, providing an error-first attribution approach that captures global failure patterns while substantially reducing the search space. We further introduce a hypothesis-based data construction strategy grounded in a structured error taxonomy and fine-tune a specialized LLM verifier model for trajectory-level failure verification and agent attribution. Experiments on Aegis-Bench and Who&When show that VerifyMAS consistently improves diverse backbone models, including open-source Qwen and API-based GPT models, outperforming prior methods without sacrificing inference efficiency for long multi-agent trajectories.