Improved Scaling Laws via Weak-to-Strong Generalization in Random Feature Ridge Regression

Weak-to-strong generalization (W2SG) occurs when a student trained on a teacher's predictions outperforms that teacher. We study when this happens under fully converged, ridgeless two-stage learning, with no early stopping, no explicit regularization, and no assumption that the student is more expressive than the teacher. In two-stage linear regression, a teacher is fit from $n$ labeled examples and a student is trained solely on the teacher's predictions on $m$ fresh, unlabeled inputs. Although both stages share the same hypothesis class and the same training rule, we show that the student outperforms the teacher exactly when $m$ lies in an explicit intermediate range: too few pseudo-labels leave the student without enough signal, too many let it inherit the teacher's noise. Under power-law covariance, we derive this range in closed form as a function of the spectral decay and noise level, including regimes where the improving region splits into two disjoint intervals of $m$. We then study a random-feature model in which the student has strictly more features than the teacher, and identify two regimes, again given by explicit thresholds: one where improvement occurs only for $m$ in a bounded interval, and one where it occurs only once the student width $N_S$ exceeds an explicit threshold. Both regimes are governed by a single "active-bottleneck" principle: whichever of $m$ or $N_S$ is scarcer controls how much teacher error is filtered out, while increasing the other resource only reduces estimation noise. Together, these results show that finite data and finite width can themselves regularize a two-stage learner, with no explicit mechanism doing so.

Weak-to-strong generalization is the phenomenon where a strong student model trained with labels produced by a weak teacher model is able to generalize better than the teacher. In this paper, we study this phenomenon in two-layer random feature networks where the model strength is determined by its width. Using tools from random matrix theory, we derive deterministic equivalents for the population errors of an optimally trained teacher and a student trained with gradient flow. For ReLU activation and a pure spherical harmonic target, we obtain sharp asymptotics under a Gaussian universality assumption, showing a quadratic improvement: the student error scales as the square of the teacher error. These results attain the general lower bound of Medvedev at al (2025). We also analyze how the student behaves under more general stopping times and targets supported on multiple harmonic degrees, characterizing the regimes in which weak-to-strong generalization occurs and identifying the transition between quadratic, non-quadratic, and no improvement.

Weak-to-strong generalization is a phenomenon in post-training whereby a strong student model, when finetuned solely with feedback from a weaker teacher, can not only surpass the teacher, but can improve upon its own capabilities. Recent work of Burns et al. (2023) demonstrated that this can occur in the setting of frontier language models, and subsequently there has been a flurry of both empirical work trying to exploit this phenomenon, as well as theoretical work attempting to understand it. In this work, we demonstrate that weak-to-strong generalization occurs in standard linear logistic regression, under mild distributional assumptions on the data. In fact, we show that this happens for most student-teacher pairs, suggesting that weak-to-strong generalization is in fact almost inevitable, even in this basic setting. Notably, our setting does not require the student to be more expressive or have more model capacity in any way compared to the teacher, which runs contrary to the prevailing theoretical belief that a mismatch in model capacity is a central mechanism to weak-to-strong generalization.