Variational Routing: A Scalable Bayesian Framework for Calibrated Mixture-of-Experts Transformers

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models scale by activating only a small subset of experts per token. However, training such models remains challenging because top-$k$ routing is discrete and non-differentiable, requiring gradient estimators for expert selection whose design remains a central open problem. We introduce ProbMoE, a probabilistic routing framework that models expert selection as a distribution over cardinality-constrained expert subsets and formulates routing as probabilistic inference in this discrete subset space. We first propose ProbMoE Exact-$k$ routing, which samples $k$-expert subsets in the forward pass, and the backward pass uses gradients through each expert's exact marginal probability as a tractable surrogate for the true gradient. ProbMoE naturally generalizes to a dynamic-$k$ routing setting, where both training and inference constrain the routing cardinality to the same predefined range, allowing adaptive expert allocation per token. Across benchmarks and model backbones, ProbMoE Exact-$k$ achieves strong performance compared to competitive baselines, with improved expert utilization and routing diversity; ProbMoE Dynamic-$k$ achieves comparable performance with fewer activated experts.

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) transformers scale capacity by activating only a few experts per token, but this sparsity creates a hidden reliability problem: when routing is imperfect, load-balanced models may send tokens to experts that are insufficiently trained for the assigned inputs. We propose Distributionally Robust MoE Training (DRMoET), a drop-in objective that treats layer-wise experts as endogenous robustness groups and optimizes high-loss routing outcomes rather than merely equalizing traffic. DRMoET updates a per-layer expert distribution by an entropy-regularized softmax rule on EMA-smoothed, activation-weighted expert losses, strengthening plausible non-top routing paths while preserving standard MoE computation. Under the FLAME-MoE recipe at 746M-total and 10.3B-total scales, DRMoET improves downstream averages over both standard FLAME-MoE and auxiliary-loss-free balancing. At 10.3B total parameters and 67B training tokens, DRMoET improves the seven-task average from 0.6625 to 0.6767, while the auxiliary-loss-free baseline achieves 0.6431. Mechanistic analyses show lower expert-loss variance with nearly unchanged mean loss, 4.3% lower excess loss under forced mid-$k$ misrouting, and improved domain-expert specialization. These results position routing robustness-not only utilization balance-as a practical objective for reliable sparse MoE scaling. Project page and code are available at: https://drmoet.github.io/.

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models scale foundation models efficiently by activating only a subset of experts for each token, but their large number of expert parameters still makes quantization essential for practical deployment. Unlike dense models, however, MoE models are sensitive to routing instability: small quantization-induced perturbations can change the top-$k$ expert selection, altering the computation path and degrading model quality. We propose Value-and-Structure Routing Alignment for Quantization (VSRAQ), a MoE-specific post-training quantization objective that preserves pre-quantization expert-selection behavior under quantization. VSRAQ combines two complementary objectives that jointly preserve expert-selection behavior: value alignment, which matches routing-relevant logits or scores, and structure alignment, which preserves expert ordering and top-$k$ decision boundaries. By maintaining routing consistency, VSRAQ reduces quantization-induced degradation without introducing any inference-time overhead and can be integrated into existing quantization frameworks. Experiments on recent MoE foundation models show that VSRAQ improves expert-selection consistency and consistently outperforms reconstruction-only and router-aware baselines.