VisiFold: Long-Term Traffic Forecasting via Temporal Folding Graph and Node Visibility

Traffic forecasting uses recent measurements by sensors installed at chosen locations to forecast the future road traffic. Existing work either assumes all locations are equipped with sensors or focuses on short-term forecast. This paper studies partial sensing forecast of long-term traffic, assuming sensors are available only at some locations. The problem is challenging due to the unknown data distribution at unsensed locations, the intricate spatio-temporal correlation in long-term forecasting, as well as noise to traffic patterns. We propose a Spatio-temporal Long-term Partial sensing Forecast model (SLPF) for traffic prediction, with several novel contributions, including a rank-based embedding technique to reduce the impact of noise in data, a spatial transfer matrix to overcome the spatial distribution shift from sensed locations to unsensed locations, and a multi-step training process that utilizes all available data to successively refine the model parameters for better accuracy. Extensive experiments on several real-world traffic datasets demonstrate its superior performance. Our source code is at https://github.com/zbliu98/SLPF

Accurate traffic forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation systems, supporting effective traffic management, congestion reduction, and informed urban planning. However, traditional models often fail to adequately capture the intricate spatio-temporal dependencies present in traffic data. To overcome these limitations, we introduce GAMMA-Net, a novel approach that integrates Graph Attention Networks (GAT) with multi-axis Selective State Space Models (Mamba). The GAT component uses a self-attention mechanism to dynamically adjust the influence of nodes within the traffic network, enabling adaptive spatial dependency modeling based on real-time conditions. Simultaneously, the Mamba module efficiently models long-term temporal and spatial dynamics without the heavy computational cost of conventional recurrent architectures. Extensive experiments on several benchmark traffic datasets, including METR-LA, PEMS-BAY, PEMS03, PEMS04, PEMS07, and PEMS08, show that GAMMA-Net consistently outperforms existing state-of-the-art models across different prediction horizons, achieving up to a 16.25% reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) compared to baseline models. Ablation studies highlight the critical contributions of both the spatial and temporal components, emphasizing their complementary role in improving prediction accuracy. In conclusion, the GAMMA-Net model sets a new standard in traffic forecasting, offering a powerful tool for next-generation traffic management and urban planning. The code for this study is available at https://github.com/hdy6438/GAMMA-Net

Traffic flow forecasting has emerged as an indispensable mission for daily life, which is required to utilize the spatiotemporal relationship between each location within a time period under a graph structure to predict future flow. However, the large travel demand for broader geographical areas and longer time spans requires models to distinguish each node clearly and possess a holistic view of the history, which has been paid less attention to in prior works. Furthermore, increasing sizes of data hinder the deployment of most models in real application environments. To this end, in this paper, we propose a lightweight Positional-aware Spatio-Temporal Network (PASTN) to effectively capture both temporal and spatial complexities in an end-to-end manner. PASTN introduces positional-aware embeddings to separate each node's representation, while also utilizing a temporal attention module to improve the long-range perception of current models. Extensive experiments verify the effectiveness and efficiency of PASTN across datasets of various scales (county, megalopolis and state). Further analysis demonstrates the efficacy of newly introduced modules either.