Overview

Traffic forecasting estimates how movement and demand will change across road networks, transit systems, airspace, and communications networks, supporting planning, routing, and resource allocation. Common approaches combine graph neural networks, temporal convolutions, attention-based Transformers, and newer state-space models; other work uses signal decomposition, physical or agent-based simulation, and contextual data such as incidents, weather, or mobility patterns. Researchers are extending these models with probabilistic predictions, foundation models, and online, continual, or federated adaptation to handle uncertainty, privacy, and changing conditions. A central challenge is making forecasts accurate and efficient while ensuring they transfer across places, sensor configurations, and traffic regimes—and that improvements in forecast metrics actually help downstream decisions.

Latest papers

CardsList

87 papers8 papers in the last four weeks, down 20% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. GAS-PFN: Graph-Aware Spatiotemporal Prior-Data Fitted Networks for Zero-Shot Traffic Forecasting

    Oct 27, 2026Joseph Natter, Long Vu, Yifan Zhang +3Traffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  2. SpecLST: Spectral-Enhanced Long-Short Term Spatio-Temporal Multimodal Modeling for Traffic Forecasting

    Oct 26, 2026Kenan Kang, Matthew M. Y. Kuo, Weihua LiSpatiotemporal ForecastingTraffic Forecasting

  3. Beyond Heuristics and Commercial Navigation: An AI-Augmented Decision-Support for Ambulance Travel Time Estimation

    Oct 22, 2026Muhammad Adil Abid, Johan Holmgren, Fabian Lorig +1Traffic Forecasting

  4. Choosing models for network-wide freeway speed estimation and forecasting from sparse fixed sensors

    Oct 15, 2026Ran Tu, Zihao Li, Arash MirzaeiTraffic ForecastingTraffic Flow Estimation

  5. CESNET-TimeSeries26: A Multi-Year Network Traffic Time Series Dataset for Annual Seasonality, Concept Drift, and Long-Term Anomaly Detection

    Oct 10, 2026Josef Koumar, Karel Hynek, Kamil Jerabek +1Forecasting BenchmarksLong-Term Time Series Forecasting

  6. Real-Time Traffic Density Estimation: A Hybrid Computer Vision and Predictive Machine Learning Pipeline

    Oct 9, 2026Prince Kwabena Appiah BoaduDensity EstimationTraffic Flow Estimation

  7. SeoulMMOD: A Large-Scale Multimodal Origin-Destination Flow Benchmark

    Oct 9, 2026Taeyoung Yu, Seonbin Jo, Jiwon Kim +1Forecasting BenchmarksTraffic Forecasting

  8. Joint upper-bound coverage and route-choice utility: an empirical evaluation on two urban proxy tasks

    Oct 4, 2026Jianing Long, Xiaobin Li, Wuming Lei +1Decision-Making under UncertaintyIntelligent Transportation Systems

  9. When better traffic forecasts fail to improve signal control: a layered diagnostic study of forecast-to-decision value

    Oct 4, 2026Jianing Long, Xiaobin Li, Wuming Lei +1Traffic Signal ControlTraffic Forecasting

  10. Prediction is Better than Detection: Traffic Congestion Control using Drones

    Sep 30, 2026Samira Hayat, Christian RaffelsbergerMulti-Robot SystemsTraffic Signal Control

  11. LTV-CTDNet: Compositional Turning Decomposition for Short-Term Turning-Movement Forecasting

    Sep 27, 2026Md Atiqur Rahman Mallick, Kamrul Hasan, Robert T. WhiteTime Series ForecastingTraffic Flow Estimation

  12. Learning Local Heterogeneity and Cross-Region Context for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting

    Sep 23, 2026Qi Feng, Zidong Wang, Bo Li +4Intelligent Transportation SystemsTraffic Forecasting

  13. Disentangling Heterogeneous Traffic Dynamics for Multi-Step Traffic Forecasting via Adaptive Spectral Decomposition

    Sep 22, 2026Zijun Huang, Chenrui Fu, Wenhao Wang +3Time Series DecompositionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  14. JEPA Guided Diffusion: Predictive Vision-Language Conditioning for Generative Traffic Forecasting

    Sep 18, 2026Trinh Tra Giang Nguyen, Thanh Nguyen Vo, Nguyen Hoai Thuong Bui +1Video PredictionTraffic Forecasting

  15. FedeRICo: Federated Region-Influenced Coupling for Traffic Flow Prediction

    Sep 17, 2026Fermin Orozco, Man Luo, Johan WahlströmFederated Graph LearningSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  16. Beyond the Graph: An Adaptive Meta-Learner Fuses Explainability, Weather, and Dynamics for Robust Bus ETA Prediction

    Sep 14, 2026Pratham Payra, JagadishIntelligent Transportation SystemsSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  17. A Multi-Resolution Multi-Domain Pre-Training Framework for Universal Traffic Forecasting

    Sep 12, 2026Zhouyang Liu, Jindong Han, Hao Wang +4Traffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  18. TD-STGT: A Spatio-Temporal Graph Transformer for Mobile Traffic Demand Forecasting

    Sep 6, 2026Mohamad Alkadamani, Halim YanikomerogluTraffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  19. ResLearn-XR: Residual Learning for Network Traffic and Quality-of-Experience-Aware Modeling in Extended Reality

    Sep 3, 2026Yoga Suhas Kuruba Manjunath, Jie Gao, Lian ZhaoResidual LearningEncrypted Network Traffic Analysis

  20. Learning-Assisted Congestion-Aware Route Scheduling for Semiconductor Fab Material Control Systems

    Aug 31, 2026Hao Yin, Meiqi Tu, Anbang Liu +2Real-Time SchedulingSemiconductor Manufacturing

  21. CASTANET: Causality-Aware Spatio-Temporal Adversarial Network Using Traffic Incident Effects

    Aug 28, 2026Toshiya Kitahara, Ryu Shirakami, Koh Takeuchi +1Traffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  22. Toward Equitable Low-Carbon Mobility: Fairness-Aware Demand Prediction for Expanding Bike-Sharing Systems

    Aug 26, 2026Man Luo, Yixuan ZhaoGraph Neural NetworksGroup Fairness

  23. A Multi-View Coupled Tensor Decomposition for Lightweight Online Adaptive Traffic Prediction

    Aug 26, 2026Quan Yu, Jie Ni, Yu-Hong Dai +1Traffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  24. RiskTraf: Risk-Extrapolated Residual Learning for Multi-Variate Traffic Flow Prediction

    Aug 21, 2026Guangyu Wang, Zhidan LiuTraffic ForecastingTraffic Flow Estimation

  25. General Semantic Knowledge Infusion for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Forecasting

    Aug 18, 2026Mattis Thor Straten, Yannick Wolker, Steffen Strohm +3Graph Neural NetworksTraffic Flow Estimation

  26. CosmosAlign: Adapting a World Foundation Model for Generative Traffic Video Forecasting

    Aug 7, 2026Quang Minh Dinh, Tuan Kiet DoanLong-Horizon Video GenerationVision Foundation Model Adaptation

  27. Enhancing Anomaly Resilience in Research Networks: A Large-Scale Forecasting Benchmark for Dynamic Security Baselining

    Aug 6, 2026Mohammad Arafath Uddin Shariff, Byrav RamamurthyNetwork Intrusion DetectionForecasting Benchmarks

  28. Spatiotemporal Graph Transformer for Traffic Intelligence in Edge Computing

    Aug 4, 2026Laha Ale, Letian Lin, Na Cao +2Edge ComputingTraffic Forecasting

  29. Interpretable Machine Learning for Traffic Congestion Prediction: Unveiling the Impact of Different COVID-19 Periods

    Aug 2, 2026Dan Zhu, Chi Sin Ng, Litian Xie +1Time Series ForecastingRecurrent Neural Networks

  30. DSETA: A Dual-Stage Continual Learning Framework for Travel Time Prediction in Dynamic Traffic Environments

    Aug 1, 2026Yanming Lyu, Yue Cheng, Lingkun Li +4Intelligent Transportation SystemsOnline Continual Learning