CausalEvolve: Towards Open-Ended Discovery with Causal Scratchpad

The increasing adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs) has enabled AI scientists to perform complex end-to-end scientific discovery tasks requiring coordination of specialized roles, including idea generation and experimental execution. However, most state-of-the-art AI scientist systems rely on static, hand-designed pipelines and fail to adapt based on accumulated interaction histories. As a result, these systems overlook promising research directions, repeat failed experiments, and pursue infeasible ideas. To address this, we introduce EvoScientist, an evolving multi-agent AI scientist framework that continuously improves research strategies through persistent memory and self-evolution. EvoScientist comprises three specialized agents: a Researcher Agent (RA) for scientific idea generation, an Engineer Agent (EA) for experiment implementation and execution, and an Evolution Manager Agent (EMA) that distills insights from prior interactions into reusable knowledge. EvoScientist contains two persistent memory modules: (i) an ideation memory, which summarizes feasible research directions from top-ranked ideas while recording previously unsuccessful directions; and (ii) an experimentation memory, which captures effective data processing and model training strategies derived from code search trajectories and best-performing implementations. These modules enable the RA and EA to retrieve relevant prior strategies, improving idea quality and code execution success rates over time. Experiments show that EvoScientist outperforms 7 open-source and commercial state-of-the-art systems in scientific idea generation, achieving higher novelty, feasibility, relevance, and clarity via automatic and human evaluation. EvoScientist also substantially improves code execution success rates through multi-agent evolution, demonstrating persistent memory's effectiveness for end-to-end scientific discovery.

Causal inference is central to scientific discovery, yet choosing appropriate methods remains challenging because of the complexity of both statistical methodology and real-world data. Inspired by the success of artificial intelligence in accelerating scientific discovery, we introduce InferenceEvolve, an evolutionary framework that uses large language models to discover and iteratively refine causal methods. Across widely used benchmarks, InferenceEvolve yields estimators that consistently outperform established baselines: against 58 human submissions in a recent community competition, our best evolved estimator lay on the Pareto frontier across two evaluation metrics. We also developed robust proxy objectives for settings without semi-synthetic outcomes, with competitive results. Analysis of the evolutionary trajectories shows that agents progressively discover sophisticated strategies tailored to unrevealed data-generating mechanisms. These findings suggest that language-model-guided evolution can optimize structured scientific programs such as causal inference, even when outcomes are only partially observed.

Large language model (LLM) agents have been increasingly adopted in scientific research for organizing and invoking specialized computational tools. However, their reliance on predefined tool spaces with static semantics limits their applicability to open-world scientific workflows, where tool requirements, capabilities, and boundaries evolve dynamically. To this end, we propose SciToolAgent-Evo, an ontology-aware self-evolving agent for open-world scientific tool acquisition. Driven by an evolving memory of skills, experiences, and an ontologized tool graph, it distills generalizable knowledge from contrastive trajectories during accumulation, whereas during inference, it formulates active requests and utilizes a LinUCB-based bandit gate to dynamically balance exploration and exploitation. Once a novel tool is acquired, its scientific ontology is completed online for seamless integration into the known graph. Moreover, we introduce OpenSciToolBench, a benchmark containing 900 realistic tasks across four difficulty levels. Extensive evaluations show that SciToolAgent-Evo achieves state-of-the-art performance, validating its robustness and generalization.