math.NAMar 16, 2026

Trustworthy Koopman Operator Learning: Invariance Diagnostics and Error Bounds

Authors: Gustav Conradie, Nicolas Boullé, Jean-Christophe Loiseau, Steven L. Brunton, Matthew J. Colbrook

Organizations: Centre for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge, UK · Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, UK · Laboratoire DynFluid, Arts et Métiers Institute of Technology, France · Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Washington, USA

Abstract

Koopman operator theory provides a global linear representation of nonlinear dynamics and underpins many data-driven methods. In practice, however, finite-dimensional feature spaces induced by a user-chosen dictionary are rarely invariant, so closure failures and projection errors lead to spurious eigenvalues, misleading Koopman modes, and overconfident forecasts. This paper addresses a central validation problem in data-driven Koopman methods: how to quantify invariance and projection errors for an arbitrary feature space using only snapshot data, and how to use these diagnostics to produce actionable guarantees and guide dictionary refinement? A unified a posteriori methodology is developed for certifying when a Koopman approximation is trustworthy and improving it when it is not. Koopman invariance is quantified using principal angles between a subspace and its Koopman image, yielding principal observables and a principal angle decomposition (PAD), a dynamics-informed alternative to SVD truncation with significantly improved performance. Multi-step error bounds are derived for Koopman and Perron--Frobenius mode decompositions, including RKHS-based pointwise guarantees, and are complemented by Gaussian process expected error surrogates. The resulting toolbox enables validated spectral analysis, certified forecasting, and principled dictionary and kernel learning, demonstrated on chaotic and high-dimensional benchmarks and real-world datasets, including cavity flow and the Pluto--Charon system.

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