Learning from Limited and Incomplete Data: A Multimodal Framework for Predicting Pathological Response in NSCLC

Pathological complete response (pCR) is a key prognostic factor in breast cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, strongly associated with long-term survival and treatment personalization. However, accurate pre-treatment pCR prediction remains challenging due to severe class imbalance and limited generalizability across diverse clinical settings. In this work, we propose a multimodal stepwise clinically-guided attention learning framework for pCR prediction from breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), designed to address these limitations through medically grounded spatial guidance and multimodal integration. The approach follows a stepwise training strategy inspired by physician reasoning: the model first learns global discriminative imaging patterns, then attention mechanisms are introduced to constrain the network toward tumor regions, and finally clinical variables are integrated to refine decision-making. This guidance strategy encourages prioritization of task-relevant features, improving identification of responders despite their limited representation in the dataset. Moreover, grounding attention in anatomically consistent tumor regions reduces reliance on dataset-specific patterns, thereby enhancing cross-institutional generalization. The framework is evaluated through external validation across heterogeneous MRI cohorts. Compared to non-guided single-stage baselines, the proposed approach improves sensitivity while maintaining competitive specificity, and produces anatomically coherent attention maps that support interpretation of the model's predictions. These findings highlight the potential of clinically-guided multimodal attention learning for robust and generalizable pCR prediction in breast cancer.

Accurate prognosis prediction is important for treatment planning in lung cancer, but deep learning-driven survival modelling is often limited by the scarcity of curated imaging cohorts with reliable outcome data. This study evaluates whether representations from a domain-specific foundation model can be used for multimodal survival prediction in data-constrained clinical settings. We assess the foundation model CT-CLIP as a feature extractor for pretreatment computed tomography images and clinical variables from 242 diagnosed lung cancer patients. The evaluation includes adaptation strategies based on frozen encoders, full fine-tuning, and low-rank adaptation, together with modality ablations and comparisons with clinical and multimodal baselines. The results show that a frozen CT-CLIP model combined with a trainable lightweight survival head outperforms the clinical baseline and achieves comparable or improved performance relative to other multimodal approaches, and separates patients into clinically meaningful high- and low-risk groups.

Integrating multimodal datasets in clinical oncology is frequently hindered by high dimensionality and blockwise missingness, where entire data sources are unavailable for specific patient subsets. Standard survival models often struggle with these gaps, leading to biased results or patient exclusion. We introduce Multimodality Stacking with Blockwise missing values (MSB), a late-fusion framework for survival analysis that independently models modality-specific features before aggregating predictions via a cross-validated stacking meta-learner. MSB was validated on the PIONeeR study (n=443 patients, 378 biomarkers across eight heterogeneous sources) to predict progression-free survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving immunotherapy. MSB yielded higher predictive performance (C-index) than baseline algorithms. Improvements varied by baseline strength: linear models showed a 15.9% increase (p<0.001 for the Wilcoxon signed-rank test), random survival forests gained 5.4% (p=0.002), and gradient boosting methods improved by 2.1% (p=0.030). Beyond discrimination, MSB reduced the generalization gap (train-test difference in 5 folds cross-validation repeated 3 times: 0.055 vs 0.380 for linear models). Permutation importance analysis identified routine laboratory markers, clinical features, and PD-L1 expression as primary predictive drivers. Missing block indicators showed negligible importance, suggesting the model learned from biomarker values rather than data availability patterns. MSB provides a statistically validated framework for multimodal survival prediction with blockwise missingness. By enabling systematic biomarker evaluation without requiring complete data, MSB offers a practical tool for predictive modeling in biomedical research, pending external validation. Implementation is available at https://github.com/MohamedBoussena/MSB under Inria license.