cs.LGMar 18, 2026

Large-Scale 3D Ground-Motion Synthesis with Physics-Inspired Latent Operator Flow Matching

Authors: Yaozhong Shi, Grigorios Lavrentiadis, Konstantinos Tsalouchidis, Zachary E. Ross, David McCallen, Caifeng Zou, Kamyar Azizzadenesheli, Domniki Asimaki

Organizations: Division of Engineering and Applied Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA · School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA · Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA · Seismological Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA · 

Abstract

Earthquake hazard analysis and design of spatially distributed infrastructure, such as power grids and energy pipeline networks, require scenario-specific ground-motion time histories with realistic frequency content and spatiotemporal coherence. However, producing the large ensembles needed for uncertainty quantification with physics-based simulations is computationally intensive and impractical for engineering workflows. To address this challenge, we introduce Ground-Motion Flow (GMFlow), a physics-inspired latent operator flow matching framework that generates realistic, large-scale regional ground-motion time-histories conditioned on physical parameters. Validated on simulated earthquake scenarios in the San Francisco Bay Area, GMFlow generates spatially coherent ground motion across more than 9 million grid points in seconds, achieving a 10,000-fold speedup over the simulation workflow, which opens a path toward rapid and uncertainty-aware hazard assessment for distributed infrastructure. More broadly, GMFlow advances mesh-agnostic functional generative modeling and could potentially be extended to the synthesis of large-scale spatiotemporal physical fields in diverse scientific domains.

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