Space-based compute is becoming plausible as launch costs fall and data-intensive AI workloads grow. This paper proposes a workload-centric framework for deciding which tasks belong in orbit versus terrestrial cloud, along with a phased adoption model tied to orbital data center maturity. We ground the framework with in-orbit semantic-reduction prototypes. An Earth-observation pipeline on Sentinel-2 imagery from Seattle and Bengaluru (formerly Bangalore) achieves 99.7-99.99% payload reduction by converting raw imagery to compact semantic artifacts. A multi-pass stereo reconstruction prototype reduces ~306 MB to ~1.57 MB of derived 3D representations (99.49% reduction). These results support a workload-first view in which semantic abstraction, not raw compute scale, drives early workload suitability.
Figures & tables
Fig. 1: Space–ground connectivity scenarios and latency drivers.
Fig. 2: Bandwidth symmetry (illustrative).
Dimension
Meaning (what it captures)
Latency tolerance
Sensitivity to added RTT, contact windows, and store-and-forward delays.
Bandwidth intensity
Expected reduction from raw inputs to downlinkable outputs; higher reduction improves suitability under downlink constraints.
Fault tolerance
Acceptability of retries, partial degradation, and intermittent execution without safety or mission impact.
Data locality
Whether the workload’s primary data is generated in space and loses value if moved in raw form.
Compute intensity
Computation required per unit of data transferred; higher compute per byte better amortizes constrained links.
TABLE I: Evaluation criteria for workload suitability
TABLE VII: Workload suitability matrix (scores 1–5 across criteria, illustrative)
Workload
P1
P2
P3
Rationale
3D reconstruction from satellite imagery
△
✓
✓✓
P1: partial steps (tiling, feature extraction, limited depth); P2: cheap power enables full MVS/depth/mesh pipelines; P3: LISL enables in-space aggregation of multi-angle imagery.
Space RF signal processing & classification
✓
✓✓
✓✓
P1: dense space-native RF benefits from detection/classification; P2: cheap power enables richer models; P3: LISL enables global spectrum maps and cross-orbit emitter tracking.
EO preprocessing (radiometric, geometric)
✓
✓✓
✓✓
P1: strong bandwidth reduction from space-native imagery; P2: higher duty cycle enables deeper pipelines and broader coverage; P3: LISL enables cross-satellite fusion and consistent processing.
Satellite health monitoring / telemetry analytics
△
△
△
P1: useful for autonomy, not bandwidth savings; P2: cheap power does not change limited data-reduction economics; P3: LISL enables fleet-level aggregation but remains secondary.
Batch LLM inference
×
△
✓
P1: weak ROI without cheap power and curated inputs; P2: economical for summarization/alerting on down-selected data; P3: aggregates outputs from multiple sources for semantic fusion.
LLM training
×
×
△
P1: power and data gravity make it infeasible; P2: cheap power alone does not solve dataset ingress, hardware refresh, and tooling; P3: may support specialized space-derived training.
TABLE VIII: Workload suitability and phase-wise roadmap (illustrative)
Fig. 3: Cross-region semantic abstraction across cloud regimes (Seattle vs Bengaluru, 2025).
Fig. 4: Example EO semantic artifacts (Seattle 2025).