Extending Precipitation Nowcasting Horizons via Spectral Fusion of Radar Observations and Foundation Model Priors
Organizations: Key Laboratory of Big Data & Artificial Intelligence in Transportation (Ministry of Education), Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China · CMA Key Laboratory of Transportation Meteorology, Nanjing Innovation Institute for Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing, China
Abstract
Precipitation nowcasting is critical for disaster mitigation and aviation safety. However, radar-only models frequently suffer from a lack of large-scale atmospheric context, leading to performance degradation at longer lead times. While integrating meteorological variables predicted by weather foundation models offers a potential remedy, existing architectures fail to reconcile the profound representational heterogeneities between radar imagery and meteorological data. To bridge this gap, we propose PW-FouCast, a novel frequency-domain fusion framework that leverages Pangu-Weather forecasts as spectral priors within a Fourier-based backbone. Our architecture introduces three key innovations: (i) Pangu-Weather-guided Frequency Modulation to align spectral magnitudes and phases with meteorological priors; (ii) Frequency Memory to correct phase discrepancies and preserve temporal evolution; and (iii) Inverted Frequency Attention to reconstruct high-frequency details typically lost in spectral filtering. Extensive experiments on the SEVIR and MeteoNet benchmarks demonstrate that PW-FouCast achieves state-of-the-art performance, effectively extending the reliable forecast horizon while maintaining structural fidelity. Our code is available at https://github.com/Onemissed/PW-FouCast.
Figures & tables
| PFM | FM | IFA | CSI | HSS | MSE | MAE | PSNR | SSIM |
| Avg | Avg | |||||||
| ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.2709 | 0.3630 | 721.6809 | 13.4405 | 23.5702 | 0.5174 |
| ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | 0.2753 | 0.3687 | 697.6037 | 12.9826 | 24.0104 | 0.5593 |
| ✗ | ✔ | ✗ | 0.2704 | 0.3596 | 697.7378 | 13.2158 | 23.9647 | 0.5531 |
| ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | 0.2804 | 0.3768 | 691.1524 | 12.6581 | 24.0601 | 0.5703 |
| ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | 0.2797 | 0.3757 | 676.6416 | 12.5787 | 24.1511 | 0.5789 |