NeuroBRIDGE: Behavior-Conditioned Koopman Dynamics with Riemannian Alignment for Early Substance Use Initiation Prediction from Longitudinal Functional Connectome
Organizations: Department of Computer Science, Georgia State University · Tri-Institutional Center for Translational Research in Neuroimaging and Data Science (TReNDS), Georgia State University, Georgia Institute of Technology, and Emory University
Abstract
Early identification of adolescents at risk for substance use initiation (SUI) is vital yet difficult, as most predictors treat connectivity as static or cross-sectional and miss how brain networks change over time and with behavior. We proposed NeuroBRIDGE (Behavior conditioned RIemannian Koopman Dynamics on lonGitudinal connEctomes), a novel graph neural network-based framework that aligns longitudinal functional connectome in a Riemannian tangent space and couples dual-time attention with behavioral-conditioned Koopman dynamics to capture temporal change. Evaluated on ABCD, NeuroBRIDGE improved future SUI prediction over relevant baselines while offering interpretable insights into neural pathways, refining our understanding of neurodevelopmental risk and informing targeted prevention.
Figures & tables
| Method | Accuracy | Sensitivity | Specificity |
| SPDNet [ 6 ] | 77.57 0.0854 | 68.18 0.1122 | 77.86 0.0811 |
| BrainNetCNN [ 8 ] | 76.53 0.0932 | 68.64 0.1213 | 76.78 0.0866 |
| BNT [ 7 ] | 79.02 0.0794 | 74.42 0.0976 | 79.16 0.0754 |
| EvolveGCN [ 18 ] | 74.68 0.0989 | 67.27 0.1281 | 74.91 0.0891 |
| RBGM [ 21 ] | 75.73 0.0912 | 72.82 0.1056 | 75.85 0.0844 |
| NeuroBRIDGE | 84.71 0.0692 | 86.36 0.0514 | 84.66 0.0658 |
| Method Variant | Accuracy | Sensitivity | Specificity |
| w/o CBCL scores | 82.13 0.0882 | 77.73 0.1281 | 82.27 0.0798 |
| w/o Midpoint anchor | 82.58 0.0745 | 84.55 0.0608 | 82.51 0.0816 |
| w/o Trace-free deflation | 83.84 0.0712 | 85.91 0.0549 | 83.78 0.0794 |
| w/o Riemannian (in Euclidean) | 75.27 0.1183 | 75.91 0.1025 | 75.24 0.1241 |
| w/o Gaussian RBF kernel | 83.79 0.0697 | 85.45 0.0562 | 83.74 0.0739 |
| w/o Edge gate | 82.71 0.0873 | 84.55 0.0726 | 82.66 0.0921 |
Human Behavior Prediction
Human behavior prediction models how people will act, decide, move, or feel from their histories, context, and observable signals.
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