cs.LGApr 2, 2026

Model-Based Reinforcement Learning for Control under Time-Varying Dynamics

Authors: Klemens Iten, Bruce Lee, Chenhao Li, Lenart Treven, Andreas Krause, Bhavya Sukhija

Organizations: ETH Zürich, Rämistrasse 101, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland · ETH AI Center at ETH Zürich

Abstract

Learning-based control methods typically assume stationary system dynamics, an assumption often violated in real-world systems due to drift, wear, or changing operating conditions. We study reinforcement learning for control under time-varying dynamics. We consider a continual model-based reinforcement learning setting in which an agent repeatedly learns and controls a dynamical system whose transition dynamics evolve across episodes. We analyze the problem using Gaussian process dynamics models under frequentist variation-budget assumptions. Our analysis shows that persistent non-stationarity requires explicitly limiting the influence of outdated data to maintain calibrated uncertainty and meaningful dynamic regret guarantees. Motivated by these insights, we propose a practical optimistic model-based reinforcement learning algorithm with adaptive data buffer mechanisms and demonstrate improved performance on continuous control benchmarks with non-stationary dynamics.

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