Large language models (LLMs) are widely explored for reasoning-intensive research tasks, yet resources for testing whether they can infer scientific conclusions from structured biomedical evidence remain limited. We introduce MedConclusion, a large-scale dataset of 5.7M PubMed structured abstracts for biomedical conclusion generation. Each instance pairs the non-conclusion sections of an abstract with the original author-written conclusion, providing naturally occurring supervision for evidence-to-conclusion reasoning. MedConclusion also includes journal-level metadata such as biomedical category and SJR, enabling subgroup analysis across biomedical domains. As an initial study, we evaluate diverse LLMs under conclusion and summary prompting settings and score outputs with both reference-based metrics and LLM-as-a-judge. We find that conclusion writing is behaviorally distinct from summary writing, strong models remain closely clustered under current automatic metrics, and judge identity can substantially shift absolute scores. MedConclusion provides a reusable data resource for studying scientific evidence-to-conclusion reasoning. Our code and data are available at: https://github.com/Harvard-AI-and-Robotics-Lab/MedConclusion.
Figures & tables
Dataset
Study Design
Name
Data Size
Broad Biomed.
Struc. Abs.
Gold References
Journal Metadata
Summary Contrast
Judge Robust.
Gao et al. (2024)
17.4K
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Shieh et al. (2019)
195.7K
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Tang et al. (2022)
57.1K
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
Tang et al. (2023)
200.2K
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
Bastan et al. (2022)
633K
✓
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
Table 1: Comparison of MedConclusion with conclusion-centric prior work. Checks denote properties that are central and explicitly emphasized by each resource or study. For multi-part resources, total dataset size sums all released components used in the paper.
Figure 1: Overview of MedConclusion and the evaluation pipeline. Left: an example MedConclusion instance, including article metadata, subject categories, and a structured abstract, where the non-conclusion sections are used as model input and the author-written conclusion serves as the gold reference. Right: the non-conclusion abstract is paired with prompts and given to diverse LLM families to generate conclusions, which are then compared against the ground-truth conclusion using both rule-based reference metrics and multi-dimensional LLM-as-a-judge metrics.
Model
Semantic Sim. ↑
Writing Style Sim. ↑
Non-Contradiction Rate ↑
Numeric Consistency ↑
Formality Sim. ↑
General-purpose Models
GPT-5.4
73.22
71.21
84.61
88.24
89.80
Gemini 3.1 Pro
71.87
70.13
82.02
86.92
89.49
Gemini 3 Flash
71.33
69.87
81.76
86.45
89.17
Gemma-3-27B
71.03
69.18
81.55
84.13
89.36
DeepSeek-V3.2
69.47
68.21
80.31
86.22
88.59
Table 2: LLM-as-Judge evaluation scores for conclusion generation. Models are grouped by primary capability. Bold and underline denote the best and second-best scores, respectively.
Model
WC Ratio ↓
SC Ratio ↓
Embed. Sim. ↑
ROUGE- 1 ↑
ROUGE- 2 ↑
ROUGE- L ↑
BLEU ↑
PPL Orig. ↓
PPL Gen. ↓
General-purpose Models
GPT-5.4
2.19
1.71
0.77
0.34
0.10
0.21
0.04
70.26
40.39
Gemini 3.1 Pro
2.28
1.75
0.73
0.33
0.10
0.21
0.04
70.26
34.54
Gemini 3 Flash
2.12
1.69
0.74
0.34
0.10
0.21
0.04
70.26
33.87
Gemma-3-27B
2.49
2.01
0.77
0.32
0.09
0.20
0.04
70.26
30.46
DeepSeek-V3.2
1.73
1.38
0.76
0.35
0.11
0.23
0.05
70.26
47.14
Table 3: Rule-based evaluation scores for conclusion generation, same order as Table 2 .
Table 5: LLM-as-Judge evaluation scores: GPT-5.4-mini vs Gemini 3 Flash as judge.
Figure 2: Scatter plots of journal-level SJR scores versus evaluation metrics for GPT-5.4 under the {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) A; setting (outliers removed). Each point represents one journal, aggregated by mean score. The top row shows reference-based metrics and the bottom row shows LLM-judge dimensions. Pearson ( r ) and Spearman ( ρ ) correlations are annotated in each panel ( ∗p<0.05 , ∗∗p<0.01 , ∗∗∗p<0.001 ).
Figure 3: Radar chart comparison of the top 5 and bottom 5 biomedical categories ranked by both mean Semantic Similarity and mean ROUGE-L for GPT-5.4 under setting {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) A; . Each axis is normalized to [0,1] .
Appendix figures & tables20 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Table 6: Example datapoint used for prompt construction and evaluation. In the structured abstract, the non-conclusion sections are highlighted separately from the CONCLUSION section to indicate that the former are used as model input, while the conclusion serves as the ground-truth reference for evaluation.
Table 7: Prompts for conclusion generation. The highlighted variants distinguish the constrained writing setting ( {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) C; ), which enforces sentence and word count targets and asks the model to match the abstract’s writing style, from the unconstrained setting ( {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) A; ), which instead only requires a formal academic style without length constraints.
Table 8: Prompts for summary generation. The highlighted variants distinguish the constrained writing setting ( {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) D; ), which requires the summary to follow the abstract’s writing style and satisfy sentence and word count targets, from the unconstrained setting ( {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) B; ), which only specifies a formal academic style and leaves length unrestricted.
Table 20: Top 10 categories ranked by ∣ΔSemantic Similarity∣ (Mode {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) A; − {tikzpicture} [baseline=(char.base)] \node [shape=circle, draw, inner sep=0.5pt, fill=black, text=white, font= ] (char) B; ; GPT-5.4 ). Gap magnitudes vary substantially across dimensions within this group, indicating that the specific dimensions along which conclusion and summary modes diverge are category-dependent.
Figure 4: Publication-year density of abstracts in MedConclusion from 2000–2025. The median publication year is 2018.
Figure 5: Distribution statistics of MedConclusion. (a) Top 10 subject categories by proportion of abstracts in the dataset, with Medicine being the dominant category at 13.8%. (b) Distribution of SJR scores across the 3,772 journals (median =0.77 , mean =0.98 ), showing a right-skewed distribution concentrated in the low-to-moderate prestige range.
Table 22: Conclusion label variants used to identify conclusion-type sections in structured abstracts.
Short Name
Full Name
Access
Capability
Scale
Max New Tokens
Temp.
General-purpose Models
GPT-5.4
gpt-5.4 ( OpenAI, 2026 )
Proprietary
General-purpose
Large
1024
0
Gemini 3.1 Pro
gemini-3.1-pro ( Google DeepMind, 2026 )
Proprietary
General-purpose
Large
1024
0
Gemini 3 Flash
gemini-3-flash ( Google DeepMind, 2025 )
Proprietary
General-purpose
Medium
1024
0
DeepSeek-V3.2
DeepSeek-V3.2 ( DeepSeek-AI, 2025b )
Proprietary
General-purpose
Large
1024
0
MiniMax-M2.1
MiniMax-M2.1 ( MiniMax, 2025 )
Proprietary
General-purpose
Large
1024
0
Appendix
Table 23: Model metadata and run-configuration summary for all evaluated models. For general-purpose models that expose a thinking mode, thinking=none was used.
School of Information Sciences, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL · Department of Psychiatry, University of Illinois College of Medicine, Chicago, IL