EngageTriBoost: Predictive Modeling of User Engagement in Digital Mental Health Intervention Using Explainable Machine Learning

Mental illnesses among drug users are an increasing international issue, particularly in regions where early detection cannot be easily undertaken. The current literature tends to ignore the use of AI-based mental health analysis in drug users, and low quality of the class imbalance treatment, low interpretability, and optimal hyperparameter optimization can lower predictive quality and clinical utility. This study present a detailed, explainable machine learning (ML) model of multiclass mental health prediction, using a multidimensional data set of drug-affected persons. We combine hybrid PCA-Information Gain (PCA-IG) feature selection, Generative Adversarial Network (GAN)-based oversampling, and Dragonfly Algorithm (DA)-optimized XGBoost to address some of the limitations of existing methods. The suggested framework is effective to work with high-dimensional categorical data, address the issue of class imbalance, and improve predictive performance due to intelligent hyperparameter tuning. The experimental findings show that the XGBoost model optimized using the DA, in combination with GAN-based oversampling, has an accuracy of 94.17% and a weighted F1-score of 93.80%, which is better than the traditional and baseline models. The behavioral, lifestyle, and health factors, particularly sleep quality, physical health, and emotional regulation, are strongly predictive of mental health, with demographic factors having little impact, as seen through feature analysis. SHAP-based explainable AI provides easy-to-understand, instance-level information, enhancing interpretability and trust in models to be used in clinical settings. The results indicate that this framework has the potential to generate valid mental health forecasting tools, which would facilitate early intervention and enhance the treatment of drug-influenced people.

Career anxiety and depression among university students present a growing challenge to mental health and academic achievement. This study proposes an Explainable AI (XAI) framework using multimodal data and Federated Learning (FL) to identify early indicators of career-related mental health problems in a privacy-preserving and culturally responsive manner. The framework combines structured behavioral data and facial emotion features from interview videos via an intermediate fusion neural network with attention mechanisms. Label smoothing was applied to improve model generalizability. FL was used across institutions to enable collaborative training without raw data sharing. Evaluation was conducted using the Student Mental Health Survey dataset from university students across Pakistan. Our model attained an F1-score of 89.12%, recall of 86.54%, accuracy of 92.08%, and precision of 91.88%. Using Integrated Gradients and SHAP, the model identified key behavioral markers of depression including avoidance of direct gaze, lower facial expressiveness, and social withdrawal, consistent with psychological theory. This research presents an interpretable, scalable, and context-sensitive AI system for mental health pre-diagnosis with potential integration into student support services globally.

This work proposes a formal abductive explanation framework designed to systematically uncover rationales underlying AI predictions of mental health help-seeking within tech workplace settings. By computing rigorous justifications for model outputs, this approach enables principled selection of models tailored to distinct psychiatric profiles and underpins ethically robust recourse planning. Beyond moving past ad-hoc interpretability, we explicitly examine the influence of sensitive attributes such as gender on model decisions, a critical component for fairness assessments. In doing so, it aligns explanatory insights with the complex landscape of workplace mental health, ultimately supporting trustworthy deployment and targeted interventions.