cs.ROApr 10, 2026

Online Intention Prediction via Control-Informed Learning

Authors: Tianyu Zhou, Zihao Liang, Zehui Lu, Shaoshuai Mou

Organizations: School of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Purdue University, IN 47907, USA · independent researcher

Abstract

This paper presents an online intention prediction framework for estimating the goal state of autonomous systems in real time, even when intention is time-varying, and system dynamics or objectives include unknown parameters. The problem is formulated as an inverse optimal control / inverse reinforcement learning task, with the intention treated as a parameter in the objective. A shifting horizon strategy discounts outdated information, while online control-informed learning enables efficient gradient computation and online parameter updates. Simulations under varying noise levels and hardware experiments on a quadrotor drone demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves accurate, adaptive intention prediction in complex environments.

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