A Diffusion-Contrastive Graph Neural Network with Virtual Nodes for Wind Nowcasting in Unobserved Regions

The high proportion of wind power connected to the grid places higher demands on fine-grained knowledge of regional wind fields. Since the wind information directly obtainable in actual operations is mostly sparse, discrete, and irregularly distributed local observations, it is difficult to directly meet the needs of tasks such as wind power regulation, wind resource assessment, and low-altitude environmental perception of continuous regional wind fields. Therefore, we propose Zhinv, an end-to-end reconstruction framework that directly weaves sparse and irregular observations into a fine-grid wind field at hub-height. Experiments in Northeast China, Europe, and Southeast Asia demonstrate that Zhinv can accurately, robustly, and efficiently reconstruct fine-grid wind fields from sparse observations, reducing the error by about 66% compared with Kriging. With local wind-power observations as input, Zhinv enables wind power centers to bypass NWP and complex assimilation processes, supporting direct and real-time wind resource assessment from locally available data.

Urban wind flow reconstruction is essential for assessing air quality, heat dispersion, and pedestrian comfort, yet remains challenging when only sparse sensor data are available. We propose GenDA, a generative data assimilation framework that reconstructs high-resolution wind fields on unstructured meshes from limited observations. The model employs a multiscale graph-based diffusion architecture trained on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations and interprets classifier-free guidance as a learned posterior reconstruction mechanism: the unconditional branch learns a geometry-aware flow prior, while the sensor-conditioned branch injects observational constraints during sampling. This formulation enables obstacle-aware reconstruction and generalization to held-out mesh geometries, wind directions, and sensor configurations within the studied urban-flow setting, without retraining. We consider both sparse fixed sensors and trajectory-based observations using the same reconstruction procedure. When evaluated against supervised graph neural network (GNN) baselines and classical reduced-order data assimilation methods, GenDA reduces the relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE) by 25-57% and increases the structural similarity index (SSIM) by 23-33% across the tested meshes. Experiments are conducted on Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations of a real urban neighborhood in Bristol, United Kingdom, at a characteristic Reynolds number of $\mathrm{Re}\approx2\times10^{7}$, featuring complex building geometry and irregular terrain. The proposed framework provides a scalable path toward generative, geometry-aware data assimilation for environmental monitoring in complex domains.

Short-term forecasting of cloud-induced power ramps across a network of distributed photovoltaic (PV) or irradiance sensors is a recognised pain point for grid operators. A natural idea is to make the graph neural network (GNN) advection-aware: connect each site to the sites upwind of it, with edge time-lags set by the cloud-motion vector (CMV), so that a ramp is propagated forward before it physically arrives. Using a controlled synthetic testbed with a known wind field, we show that (i) with a realistic cross-correlation CMV estimate, an explicit advection graph does not beat a plain static or learned-adjacency spatiotemporal GNN; (ii) roughly half of the benefit available from a perfect CMV comes simply from providing an accurate motion vector as an input feature, not from graph structure; and (iii) advection helps only when the advective displacement over the forecast horizon, v*H, fits inside the sensor network. Motivated by (ii), we introduce a small self-supervised cloud-motion estimator -- a position-aware encoder trained only on a multi-lag optical-flow reconstruction objective with an annealed kernel -- that recovers the true wind vector to 2-4 degrees median angular error, 2-4x better than the classical cross-correlation method across every wind regime. Freezing this estimator and feeding its vector to the forecaster closes about 60% of the oracle-CMV RMSE gap at moderate wind (8-15% RMSE reduction over no advection), with no external wind data. We also report a negative result for a spatially-coherent probabilistic head. All claims are established on a single synthetic simulator; we discuss why real-network validation is the necessary next step and outline it.