On the Expressive Power and Limitations of Multi-Layer SSMs

Transformers and state-space models (SSMs) are the two dominant families of sequence models, and a central open question is how far the analytical knowledge built for transformers transfers to SSMs. We address this through the lens of layer importance which underpins compression, selective fine-tuning, and interpretability across both families. We decompose layer importance into two distinct notions. \emph{Necessity} captures how much the pretrained model depends on a layer's existing contribution, measured by the loss increase from bypassing it. \emph{Plasticity} captures where the model absorbs new information during fine-tuning, measured by the magnitude of task-specific weight updates. Our analysis reveals that the two families behave fundamentally differently: in every evaluated residual transformer up to $14$B parameters, Necessity and Plasticity anti-align across depth, whereas in the evaluated Mamba-style SSMs they point to overlapping regions. The sign of this alignment also predicts downstream adaptation behavior. In the evaluated transformers, concentrating updates in the most plastic layers increases catastrophic forgetting, while this tier-dependent effect disappears in the evaluated Mamba-style SSMs.

State Space Models (SSMs) are inherently recurrent along the sequence dimension, yet depth-recurrence - reusing the same block repeatedly across layers, as recently applied in looped transformers - has not been explored in this model family. We show that a looped SSM with $k$ parameters iterated $L$ times consistently closely matches or outperforms a standard SSM with $k \cdot L$ independent parameters across four architectures (LRU, S5, LinOSS, LrcSSM) and six time series classification benchmarks, despite operating within a strictly smaller hypothesis space, as we formally establish. Since the larger model contains the looped model as a special case, this dominance cannot be explained by expressivity and instead points to parameter sharing across depth as a beneficial inductive bias that simplifies optimization. These results demonstrate that depth-recurrence is orthogonal to sequence-recurrence and independently beneficial. We further show that input reshaping is an equally neglected design axis: concatenating timesteps for low-dimensional inputs, or flattening and rechunking the joint feature-time dimension for high-dimensional ones, yields accuracy gains of 1-6% across all models, confirmed over 5 random seeds. Both techniques provide standalone improvements that compound when combined, suggesting that depth and input reshaping are two independent and underexplored design axes for SSMs on time series.

State-space models (SSMs) face a fundamental trade-off between efficiency and expressivity that is mainly dictated by the structure of the model's transition matrix. Unstructured transition matrices enable maximal expressivity, as measured by their ability to model finite-state automaton (FSA) transitions, but come at a prohibitively high compute and memory cost. In contrast, most structured transition matrix forms are highly efficient both in runtime and memory consumption, but suffer from limited expressivity. Building on recent work on structured sparse SSMs, we propose Flash PD-SSM, a novel SSM that achieves comparable throughput to widely-used structured SSMs with significantly better expressivity guarantees. Flash PD-SSM maintains a trainable set of structured sparse matrices, a single one of which is discretely selected at each time-step, enabling FSA expressiveness at the level of unstructured matrices while maintaining the efficiency required for training models at scale. First, we validate Flash PD-SSM against a suite of alternative models on synthetic mechanistic and state-tracking tasks, finding that its theoretical expressivity is achieved in practice. Second, on multivariate time-series tasks involving sequences of length over 17,000, we find that Flash PD-SSM defines a new state-of-the-art (SoTA) accuracy among competing SSM methods. Finally, we demonstrate that Flash PD-SSM is an effective drop-in replacement for hybrid LLMs, yielding improvements both in natural language state-tracking and in common language modeling scenarios. The model exhibits increased throughput and decreased memory consumption compared to SSMs widely used in frontier language models.