Hybrid Decision Making via Conformal VLM-generated Guidance
Authors: Debodeep Banerjee, Burcu Sayin, Stefano Teso, Andrea Passerini
Organizations: DI, University of Pisa · DISI, University of Trento · CIMeC, university of Trento
Abstract
Building on recent advances in AI, hybrid decision making (HDM) holds the promise of improving human decision quality and reducing cognitive load. We work in the context of learning to guide (LtG), a recently proposed HDM framework in which the human is always responsible for the final decision: rather than suggesting decisions, in LtG the AI supplies (textual) guidance useful for facilitating decision making. One limiting factor of existing approaches is that their guidance compounds information about all possible outcomes, and as a result it can be difficult to digest. We address this issue by introducing ConfGuide, a novel LtG approach that generates more succinct and targeted guidance. To this end, it employs conformal risk control to select a set of outcomes, ensuring a cap on the false negative rate. We demonstrate our approach on a real-world multi-label medical diagnosis task. Our empirical evaluation highlights the promise of ConfGuide.
Conformal prediction (CP) and its extension, conformal risk control (CRC), are established frameworks for quantifying uncertainty in supervised machine learning through formal guarantees. However, recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI) have been driven by unsupervised generative models, such as large language models (LLMs) and image generators, which are not directly compatible with CP or CRC. In this work we introduce conformal generation (Conf-Gen), a general framework adapting CRC to generative tasks while relaxing its theoretical assumptions. Conf-Gen unifies and generalizes previous attempts to apply CP to LLMs, and extends conformal methodology to entirely new domains. We demonstrate the flexibility of Conf-Gen through some novel applications, including obtaining conformal guarantees on: image generators producing non-memorized images, conversational AI systems having asked enough clarifying questions, and the output of AI agents being correct.
Clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) encode evidence-based decision logic that clinicians apply by evaluating patient variables, conditional criteria, and recommendation rules. However, existing methods often use CPGs as free-text training data or retrieval sources, underutilizing their procedural decision structure. To better exploit this structure, we introduce a guideline-derived training pipeline that transforms CPG recommendations into executable clinical decision logic and uses it to generate factual and counterfactual question-answering data. Theses data teach models both guideline-supported decisions and how decisions change under different patient conditions. Post-training a medical LLM on the generated data yields MedGuideX. Across four clinical reasoning benchmarks, MedGuideX achieves a 10.28% relative improvement in average accuracy. Physician evaluation further shows that MedGuideX better recovers clinician authored reasoning steps and produces physician-preferred rationales in faithfulness, validity, completeness, and clarity. Overall, our results show that executable decision logic from CPGs can be transformed into scalable supervision for building reliable medical LLMs.
Adapting large language models (LLMs) to clinical workflows often requires costly fine-tuning or manual prompt and pipeline engineering. We study LLM-guided MAP-Elites evolution as an inference-time alternative for discovering medical decision strategies and provide an implementation repository at https://github.com/univanxx/llm_guided_evo_medical. We formulate urgency triage, interactive consultation, and medical image classification as evolutionary searches over executable artifacts optimized by task-specific fitness functions. Across all three settings, evolution improves over manually designed baselines under practical constraints. In triage, evolved programs increase Semigran accuracy from 77.3% to 87.1% and emergency recall from 0.60 to 0.97, while improving safety-weighted held-out MIMIC-ESI performance. In interactive consultation, evolved policies improve the accuracy--cost frontier across Llama-3, Qwen-3.5, and Gemma-4 and transfer to held-out iCRAFTMD. In PneumoniaMNIST, prompt-only evolution improves frozen MedGemma VLMs while preserving strict JSON outputs. Qualitative analysis shows that the gains come from interpretable program-level mechanisms, calibrated triage boundaries, targeted evidence acquisition, selective commitment, and finding-oriented visual decision rules, rather than superficial prompt rewording alone.