Conformal Risk Control

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Conformal Risk Control.

Period ending 2026-09-07

3 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Conformal Risk Control.

35 papers

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A Decision-Support Audit Protocol for Supervision Drift in Proxy-Labeled Credit-Risk Prediction
Sep 14, 2026Mehrdad Shoeibi, Muhammad Shabanpour, Waldemar Karwowski +1Credit Risk Prediction Algorithm Auditing
SIRF: A Spec-Internalized Risk Foundation Model for Industrial Content Risk Control
Sep 12, 2026Suwan Wu, Yumeng Lin, Pengcheng Yuan +1Conformal Risk Control Large Language Model Safety
Occupancy-based Quantile Risk Control
Sep 2, 2026Zihao Shi, Huajun Xi, Bingyi Jing +1Conformal Risk Control Quantile Regression
IntroConformal: Conformal Factuality Guarantees for Large Vision-Language Models via Introspective Signals
Sep 1, 2026Md. Atabuzzaman, Christian Alexander, Chris ThomasLarge Vision Language Models Facts
Non-Degenerate Risk Certification for Automated Security Decisions: A Decision-Contract Theory with ATT&CK-Aligned Triage as a Worked Instance
Aug 12, 2026Zhenpeng LiArtificial Intelligence Safety Threat Models
Conformal risk control for model-form uncertainty in parametric non-intrusive reduced-order models
Aug 4, 2026Edgar Jaber, Rémy Vallot, Thibault Dairay +1Reduced-Order Models Reliable Uncertainty Quantification
Hierarchical Group-Conditional Conformal Risk Control for Selective Prediction in Language Models
Jul 27, 2026Murilo Salem, Luísa Böhm, Daniel Pontes +1Conformal Risk Control
Beyond Aggregate Risk: Role-Stratified Conformal Risk Control for LLM Tool Calls
Jul 27, 2026Md Ashikur Rahman, Md Arifur Rahman, Niamul Hassan Samin +4Conformal Risk Control Large Language Model Safety
Safe Remediation as Risk-Constrained Intervention Decision in Microservice Systems
Jul 22, 2026Chengxiao Dai, Zhaokun Yan, Chenjun Lei +2Remediation Fault Injection Experiments
When Can Conformal Risk Control Certify LLM Outputs? Bounds, Impossibility, and Adaptation for Structured Generation
Jun 27, 2026Varun KotteConformal Risk Control Large Language Model Safety
When Calibration Fails the Vulnerable Hospital: Federated Conformal Risk Control via Risk-Curve Shrinkage
Jun 18, 2026Nafis Fuad ShahidConformal Risk Control Brain Tumor Classification
DeXposure-Claw: An Agentic System for DeFi Risk Supervision
Jun 17, 2026Aijie Shu, Bowei Chen, Wenbin Wu +2Decentralized Finance Credit Risk Prediction
ToolChain-CRC: Conformal Risk Control for Agentic AI Under Retrieval and Tool-Use Drift
Jun 16, 2026Jeffery Opoku, David BanaheneMulti-Turn Tool-Use Agent Conformal Risk Control
PromptShift-CRC: Drift-Aware Conformal Risk Control for Foundation Models Under Prompt and Domain Shift
Jun 14, 2026Jeffery Opoku, David BanaheneConformal Risk Control Wireless Foundation Models
Multi-Agent Framework for Audit Risk Assessment with Explicit Uncertainty and Evidence Conflict Modeling
Jun 14, 2026Yuhan Wang, Manqing Wang, Yixuan Lu +2Algorithm Auditing Conformal Risk Control
CARE: A Conformal Safety Layer for Medical Summarization
Jun 8, 2026Suhana Bedi, Bridget Lin, Anson Y. Zhou +5Summarization Large Language Model Safety
A Joint Finite-Sample Certificate for Adaptive Selective Conformal Risk Control
Jun 7, 2026Xiaoli Yu, Jiamiao LiuConformal Risk Control Finite-Sample Certificates
SoK: Reconstruction Attacks on Synthetic Tabular Data (Insights from Winning the NIST CRC)
Jun 6, 2026Steven Golob, Sikha Pentyala, Martine De CockSynthetic Tabular Data Privacy-Preserving Framework
Conformal Risk Sharing: Certified Cost Allocation with Participation Guarantees
Jun 4, 2026Ieva KazlauskaiteConformal Risk Control Finite-Sample Certificates
Distribution-Free Risk-Aware Planning and Control Under Uncertainty Using Conformal Spectral Risk Control
Jun 2, 2026Junsik Eom, Tulga ErsalModel Predictive Control Conformal Risk Control
Conformal Risk Prediction for Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Using Gradient Boosting with Distribution-Free Coverages
May 31, 2026Xinze ZhangCholangiocarcinoma Cardiometabolic Risk
Adversarially Robust Control of Conditional Value-at-Risk via Rockafellar-Uryasev Conformal Inference
May 29, 2026Catherine Chen, Jingyan Shen, Zhun Deng +1Conditional-Value-At-Risk Conformal Risk Control
Out-of-Distribution generalization of quantile regression with heavy tailed inputs: an SVM approach
May 29, 2026Baptiste Leroux, Clément Dombry, Anne SabourinQuantile Regression Support Vector Machines
Conf-Gen: Conformal Uncertainty Quantification for Generative Models
May 27, 2026Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem, Kevin Zhang, Wei Cui +2Large Language Model Uncertainty Generative Models
Control Physiology: An Agent-Based Model of FAIR-CAM Dynamics
May 26, 2026Jack Jones, Laura VoicuIncident Response Agent-Based Model
Stream Assembly Is an Uncontrolled Treatment in Streaming Intrusion-Detection Benchmarks
May 23, 2026Michel A. YoussefIntrusion Detection Conformal Risk Control
A Deployment Audit of Release-Side Risk in Conformal Triage under Prevalence Shift
May 20, 2026Chengze Li, Xiao Liu, Hanrong Zhang +7Triage Conformal Risk Control
Conformal Selective Acting: Anytime-Valid Risk Control for RLVR-Trained LLMs
May 18, 2026Hamed Khosravi, Xiaoming HuoConformal Risk Control Reinforcement Learning With Verifiable Reward
Pause and Reflect: Conformal Aggregation for Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
May 13, 2026Yu Gu, Zijun Yu, Vahid Partovi Nia +1Chain-of-Thought Reasoning Self-Consistency
Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies
May 7, 2026Sunay Joshi, Tao Wang, Hamed Hassani +1Conformal Risk Control Post-Processing
CRC-Screen: Certified DNA-Synthesis Hazard Screening Under Taxonomic Shift
Apr 30, 2026Najmul HasanDna Conformal Risk Control
EndoGov: A knowledge-governed multi-agent expert system for endometrial cancer risk stratification
Apr 26, 2026Weiye Dai, Liyun Shi, Zanxiang He +4Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Conformal Risk Control
Bounding the Black Box: A Statistical Certification Framework for AI Risk Regulation
Apr 23, 2026Natan Levy, Gadi PerlArtificial Intelligence Safety Conformal Risk Control
Conformal Policy Control
Mar 2, 2026Drew Prinster, Clara Fannjiang, Ji Won Park +4Conformal Risk Control Safety Constraints
Optimal Conformal Prediction under Epistemic Uncertainty
May 25, 2025Alireza Javanmardi, Soroush H. Zargarbashi, Santo M. A. R. Thies +3Conformal Prediction Epistemic Uncertainty

Sep 14, 2026 · cs.LGJ/K move · Enter open · S save

A Decision-Support Audit Protocol for Supervision Drift in Proxy-Labeled Credit-Risk Prediction

Mehrdad Shoeibi, Muhammad Shabanpour, Waldemar Karwowski, Niloofar Yousefi

Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Systems University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, USA · Department of Economics, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA

Credit-risk models are trained on proxy labels and deployed under temporal and segment change, yet no single transfer metric separates base-rate shift, probability-scale shift, and feature-label relationship change. We contribute a design-science artifact: a locked, multi-signal audit protocol for supervision drift in proxy-labeled credit-risk prediction. Five layers (transfer performance, an oracle-gap probe, a calibration diagnostic, feature-label stability, and a synthetic positive control), thresholds, and decision rules were locked before interpretation; a bounded reading is a designed outcome. On a public LendingClub dataset (temporal 2013 to 2016 and cross-segment transfer), ranking is stable and oracle gaps are small; the clearest temporal signal is a prevalence and probability-scale mismatch that intercept-only diagnostic recalibration largely reduces, though its cause is not identifiable from the available release. The positive control responds only to larger injected shifts; subtler drift cannot be excluded. Mapping diagnostic patterns to governance actions is conceptual guidance, not validated here.

Credit Risk Prediction Algorithm Auditing Credit Scoring Conformal Risk Control Mismatch

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