Inferring High-Level Events from Timestamped Data: Complexity and Medical Applications

Biomedical knowledge graphs (KGs) treat disease associations as static facts, but temporal information is crucial for clinical reasoning, e.g., a symptom diagnostic of one disease at age 3 may imply a different disease at age 13. Existing KGs such as PrimeKG, Hetionet, and iKraph do not encode when a finding becomes clinically relevant over the course of a disease. This limits their usefulness for longitudinal clinical reasoning and retrieval augmentation. We introduce ChronoMedKG, a temporal biomedical knowledge graph that contains 460,497 evidence-linked triples (filtered from 13M raw extractions) covering 13,431 diseases. Each association is tied to temporal components like onset window or progression stage, which are backed by PMID-traceable evidence and a multi-signal credibility score. The graph is constructed through a disease-autonomous multi-agent pipeline in which multiple frontier LLMs independently extract knowledge from PubMed and PMC literature. Only those relations are kept that are supported by multi-model consensus, survive credibility filtering, as well as ontology alignment. ChronoMedKG scored 92.7% agreement against Orphadata and adds temporal grounding for 6,250 diseases absent from HPOA, Orphadata, and Phenopackets, including 1,657 Orphanet-coded rare diseases. We further introduce ChronoTQA, a benchmark of 3,341 questions across eight task types (six temporal plus two static controls), with a 12-question supplementary probe. Frontier LLMs lose roughly 30 points moving from static to temporal questions; ChronoMedKG retrieval rescues 47-65% of their long-tail failures, against 17-29% for HPOA-RAG. As such, ChronoMedKG provides a crucial temporal axis for retrieval-augmented clinical systems that was previously absent.

Several applications demand the timely detection of critical situations, such as threats to safety and transparency, over high-velocity streams of symbolic events. This demand has motivated the development of (i) event specification languages, which define composite events via temporal patterns over simpler events, and (ii) stream reasoning frameworks, evaluating patterns expressed in these languages. However, event specification languages are typically studied in isolation, complicating their comparison in terms of expressivity and obscuring the scope of their associated stream reasoners. To mitigate this issue, we map practical fragments of prominent event specification languages into Temporal Datalog->-, a temporal Datalog with stratified negation and no future dependencies. To support efficient stream reasoning over Temporal Datalog->-, we propose Streaming Trigger Graphs, an extension of a state-of-the-art technique for Datalog materialisation. Our approach yields a uniform composite event recognition mechanism that has the potential to generalise across a wide range of practical event specification languages.

Reconstructing precise clinical timelines is essential for modeling patient trajectories and forecasting risk in complex, heterogeneous conditions like sepsis. While unstructured clinical narratives offer semantically rich and contextually complete descriptions of a patient's course, they often lack temporal precision and contain ambiguous event timing. Conversely, structured electronic health record (EHR) data provides precise temporal anchors but misses a substantial portion of clinically meaningful events. We introduce a retrieval-augmented multimodal alignment framework that bridges this gap to improve the temporal precision of absolute clinical timelines extracted from text. Our approach formulates timeline reconstruction as a graph-based multistep process: it first extracts central anchor events from narratives to build an initial temporal scaffold, places non-central events relative to this backbone, and then calibrates the timeline using retrieved structured EHR rows as external temporal evidence. Evaluated using instruction-tuned large language models on the i2m4 benchmark spanning MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV, our multimodal pipeline consistently improves absolute timestamp accuracy (AULTC) and improves temporal concordance across nearly all evaluated models over unimodal text-only reconstruction, without compromising event match rates. Furthermore, our empirical gap analysis reveals that 34.8% of text-derived events are entirely absent from tabular records, demonstrating that aligning these modalities can produce a more temporally faithful and clinically informative reconstruction of patient trajectories than either source alone.