Scaling Laws for Mixture Pretraining Under Data Constraints

For most languages of the world, language model pre-training operates in a data-constrained regime where models must repeat their training data many times, degrading generalization. Two remedies exist: aggressive hyperparameter tuning such as high weight decay, and mixing in data from a high-resource auxiliary language to directly aid the low-resource target. While hyperparameter tuning regularizes the model by shrinking weights to restrict network capacity, auxiliary data mixing uses a tunable mixing ratio to expand the training distribution and diversify the training signal with new knowledge. Both offer a principled way to improve training in a data-constrained domain. We compare these levers systematically across four model scales from 150M to 1.43B parameters, using Arabic as the low-resource target and English as the auxiliary, over approximately 1000 pre-training runs. Three findings emerge. First, mixing yields larger improvements than hyperparameter tuning on both validation loss and downstream task accuracy, and the gap grows with model size. Second, we quantify how much mixing helps: it boosts performance by an amount equivalent to 2--3$\times$ the unique target data on validation loss and 2--13$\times$ on downstream task accuracy, with the gain scaling steeply with model size. Third, this divergence reveals that target-language validation loss systematically underestimates mixing's value. Mixing regularizes by diversifying the training signal and contributes knowledge the repeated target corpus cannot supply; validation loss captures only the first effect. Our practical recommendations are: mix in a high-resource language, prioritize the mixing ratio over hyperparameter tuning, and transfer hyperparameters from a small proxy model via $μ$P.

Pre-training data mixtures are commonly tuned by running small-scale experiments and extrapolating to the target training budget. When high-quality data is scarce and must be repeated, this extrapolation frequently fails, but the source of the failure has not been isolated. We show that a primary culprit is a repetition mismatch: because high-quality datasets are small, their repetition rate changes as the training budget grows, shifting the optimal mixture in ways that small-scale proxy experiments do not anticipate. A subsampling procedure that matches the target repetition rate controls for this effect. In a two-source setting combining limited high-quality data with web crawl, a single repetition-controlled experiment using only 1/16 of the target tokens recovers a mixture within 0.10 of the optimum on Wiki-Text for a 1.17B parameter model, compared to an error of 0.85 without repetition control. Achieving comparable accuracy without repetition control requires multiple training horizons, consuming 19%, 44%, and 94% of the target token budget when using the results from two, three, and four horizons respectively. With three data sources, the larger mixture space requires more than a single experiment to constrain, but the approach remains effective: at the 757M scale, just two repetition-controlled horizons recover the optimal mixture, outperforming baselines that instead require the full two-source experiments to construct. Our results reveal that repetition dynamics, not scale alone, shape whether small-scale mixture experiments generalize. More broadly, they suggest that data repetition deserves treatment as a first-class variable in mixture optimization, rather than an inconvenient side effect of limited data.

Upweighting high-quality data in LLM pretraining often improves performance, but in datalimited regimes, especially under overtraining, stronger upweighting increases repetition and can degrade performance. However, standard scaling laws do not reliably extrapolate across mixture recipes or under repetitions, making the selection for optimal data recipes at scaling underdetermined. To solve this, we introduce InfoLaw (Information Scaling Laws), a data-aware scaling framework that predicts loss from consumed tokens, model size, data mixture weights, and repetition. The key idea is to model pretraining as information accumulation, where quality controls information density and repetition induces scaledependent diminishing returns. We first collect the model performance after training on datasets that vary in scale, quality distribution, and repetition level. Then we build up the modeling for information so that information accurately predicts those model performance. InfoLaw predicts performance on unseen data recipes and larger scale runs (up to 7B, 425B tokens) with 0.15% mean and 0.96% max absolute error in loss, and it extrapolates reliably across overtraining levels, enabling efficient data-recipe selection under varying compute budgets.