Authors: Friso de Kruiff, Dario Coscia, Max Welling, Erik Bekkers
Organizations: CuspAI · AMLab, University of Amsterdam · mathLab, SISSA
Abstract
Generative models can produce nonsensical text, unrealistic images, and unstable materials faster than simulation or human review can absorb; without per-sample confidence, trust erodes. Existing fixes run k ensembles or stochastic trajectories at k× compute, measuring variability between models, not model confidence. We propose Flow Matching with Confidence (FMwC). FMwC injects input-dependent multiplicative noise at selected layers, propagates its variance through the network in closed form, and integrates it along the ODE trajectory, yielding a per-sample confidence score at standard sampling cost. The score supports multiple uses: filtering improves image quality and thermodynamic stability of crystals; editing rewinds trajectories to the points where the model commits and redirects them; and adaptive stepping concentrates ODE compute where the flow is ambiguous. We find that the confidence score correlates with the magnitude of the divergence of the learned velocity field, which gives us a window to understand the generative process, opening up surgical forms of guidance that target the moments that matter, new sampling algorithms and interpretability of generative models.
Flow-based generative methods offer a simple and effective framework for high-fidelity generation, yet pretrained flow models are rarely used in their vanilla conditional form: in image generation, samples without guidance often appear diffuse and lack fine-grained detail. Existing guidance techniques such as classifier-free guidance (CFG) improve fidelity but reduce sample diversity. We introduce Momentum Guidance (MG), a guidance method that improves sample quality by extrapolating the current velocity away from an exponential moving average of past velocities along the ODE trajectory, while preserving the standard one-evaluation-per-step cost. MG provides gains beyond CFG, improving the precision-recall Pareto frontier. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of MG across benchmarks. On ImageNet-256, MG improves FID by 36.54% without CFG and 25.42% with CFG on average across sampling settings, attaining an FID of 1.553 at 16 sampling steps. Evaluations on large flow-based models, including Stable Diffusion 3 and FLUX.1-dev, further confirm improvements across standard metrics.
Flow matching has become a leading framework for generative modeling, but quantifying the uncertainty of its samples remains an open problem. Existing approaches retrain the model with auxiliary variance heads, maintain costly ensembles, or propagate approximate covariance through many integration steps, trading off training cost, inference cost, or accuracy. We show that none of these trade-offs is necessary. By extending Tweedie's formula from the denoising setting to the flow matching interpolant, we derive an exact, closed-form expression for the posterior covariance at every point along the generative trajectory. The result depends on a single quantity, namely the divergence of the learned velocity field, which can be computed post-hoc on any pre-trained flow matching model, requiring no retraining and no architectural modification. For one-step generators such as MeanFlow, the same formula yields the end-to-end generation uncertainty in a single forward pass, eliminating the multi-step variance propagation required by all prior methods. Experiments on MNIST confirm that the resulting per-pixel uncertainty maps are semantically meaningful, concentrating on digit boundaries where inter-sample variation is highest, and that the scalar uncertainty score tracks actual prediction error, all at roughly 104× less total compute than ensembling or Monte Carlo dropout.
Flow Matching has emerged as a leading framework for generative modeling, powering state-of-the-art systems such as FLUX and Stable Diffusion 3.5. However, the iterative nature of its ODE-based sampling process creates a fundamental efficiency bottleneck: the quality of generated samples is highly sensitive to the choice of step-sizes, and current models typically require 20 to 30 steps for good quality. In this work, we propose two lightweight, training-free algorithms, CAT-OV and CAT-OT that adapt step-sizes at inference time based on a novel connection between Flow Matching sampling and gradient flow. Our algorithms are computed efficiently by not requiring additional neural function evaluations. Specifically, CAT-OT estimates curvature over time via a finite-difference approximation of the time-derivative of the vector field, while CAT-OV approximates curvature over the state space via a gradient of the vector field. Under suitable conditions, both methods have truncation error bounds of constant order. Empirically, CAT-OV and CAT-OT outperform existing step-size heuristics in image quality metrics across four text- to-image Flow Matching models, reducing the number of generation steps required to reach comparable quality by up to 40%.