Generative models can produce nonsensical text, unrealistic images, and unstable materials faster than simulation or human review can absorb; without per-sample confidence, trust erodes. Existing fixes run k ensembles or stochastic trajectories at k× compute, measuring variability between models, not model confidence. We propose Flow Matching with Confidence (FMwC). FMwC injects input-dependent multiplicative noise at selected layers, propagates its variance through the network in closed form, and integrates it along the ODE trajectory, yielding a per-sample confidence score at standard sampling cost. The score supports multiple uses: filtering improves image quality and thermodynamic stability of crystals; editing rewinds trajectories to the points where the model commits and redirects them; and adaptive stepping concentrates ODE compute where the flow is ambiguous. We find that the confidence score correlates with the magnitude of the divergence of the learned velocity field, which gives us a window to understand the generative process, opening up surgical forms of guidance that target the moments that matter, new sampling algorithms and interpretability of generative models.
Flow-based generative methods offer a simple and effective framework for high-fidelity generation, yet pretrained flow models are rarely used in their vanilla conditional form: in image generation, samples without guidance often appear diffuse and lack fine-grained detail. Existing guidance techniques such as classifier-free guidance (CFG) improve fidelity but reduce sample diversity. We introduce Momentum Guidance (MG), a guidance method that improves sample quality by extrapolating the current velocity away from an exponential moving average of past velocities along the ODE trajectory, while preserving the standard one-evaluation-per-step cost. MG provides gains beyond CFG, improving the precision-recall Pareto frontier. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of MG across benchmarks. On ImageNet-256, MG improves FID by 36.54% without CFG and 25.42% with CFG on average across sampling settings, attaining an FID of 1.553 at 16 sampling steps. Evaluations on large flow-based models, including Stable Diffusion 3 and FLUX.1-dev, further confirm improvements across standard metrics.
Flow matching has become a leading framework for generative modeling, but quantifying the uncertainty of its samples remains an open problem. Existing approaches retrain the model with auxiliary variance heads, maintain costly ensembles, or propagate approximate covariance through many integration steps, trading off training cost, inference cost, or accuracy. We show that none of these trade-offs is necessary. By extending Tweedie's formula from the denoising setting to the flow matching interpolant, we derive an exact, closed-form expression for the posterior covariance at every point along the generative trajectory. The result depends on a single quantity, namely the divergence of the learned velocity field, which can be computed post-hoc on any pre-trained flow matching model, requiring no retraining and no architectural modification. For one-step generators such as MeanFlow, the same formula yields the end-to-end generation uncertainty in a single forward pass, eliminating the multi-step variance propagation required by all prior methods. Experiments on MNIST confirm that the resulting per-pixel uncertainty maps are semantically meaningful, concentrating on digit boundaries where inter-sample variation is highest, and that the scalar uncertainty score tracks actual prediction error, all at roughly 104× less total compute than ensembling or Monte Carlo dropout.
Classifier-free guidance (CFG) improves conditional generation in Flow Matching, but strong guidance can distort the generated distribution and reduce diversity. We provide a geometric account of this behavior by viewing Flow Matching as a time-varying gradient flow and characterizing how CFG reshapes its underlying potential. This view explains how stronger alignment can be accompanied by mean displacement and trajectory concentration, and motivates controlling guidance through the model-implied terminal posterior mean. We therefore propose Posterior-Mean-Capped CFG (PMC-CFG), a training-free, per-sample method that adaptively retains the strongest feasible guidance without additional network evaluations. Experiments on synthetic and large-scale image-generation benchmarks show that PMC-CFG limits guidance-induced distortion and concentration while improving the alignment--diversity trade-off, with particularly strong benefits when nominal guidance is large.