TreeText-CTS: Compact, Source-Traceable Tree-Path Evidence for Irregular Clinical Time-Series Prediction

Feature engineering for Electronic Health Records (EHR) is complicated by irregular observation intervals, variable measurement frequencies, and structural sparsity inherent to clinical time series. Existing automated methods either lack clinical domain awareness or assume clean, regularly sampled inputs, limiting their applicability to real-world EHR data. We present \textbf{FeatEHR-LLM}, a framework that leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to generate clinically meaningful tabular features from irregularly sampled EHR time series. To limit patient privacy exposure, the LLM operates exclusively on dataset schemas and task descriptions rather than raw patient records. A tool-augmented generation mechanism equips the LLM with specialized routines for querying irregular temporal data, enabling it to produce executable feature-extraction code that explicitly handles uneven observation patterns and informative sparsity. FeatEHR-LLM supports both univariate and multivariate feature generation through an iterative, validation-in-the-loop pipeline. Evaluated on eight clinical prediction tasks across four ICU datasets, our framework achieves the highest mean AUROC on 7 out of 8 tasks, with improvements of up to 6 percentage points over strong baselines. Code is available at github.com/hojjatkarami/FeatEHR-LLM.

Reconstructing precise clinical timelines is essential for modeling patient trajectories and forecasting risk in complex, heterogeneous conditions like sepsis. While unstructured clinical narratives offer semantically rich and contextually complete descriptions of a patient's course, they often lack temporal precision and contain ambiguous event timing. Conversely, structured electronic health record (EHR) data provides precise temporal anchors but misses a substantial portion of clinically meaningful events. We introduce a retrieval-augmented multimodal alignment framework that bridges this gap to improve the temporal precision of absolute clinical timelines extracted from text. Our approach formulates timeline reconstruction as a graph-based multistep process: it first extracts central anchor events from narratives to build an initial temporal scaffold, places non-central events relative to this backbone, and then calibrates the timeline using retrieved structured EHR rows as external temporal evidence. Evaluated using instruction-tuned large language models on the i2m4 benchmark spanning MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV, our multimodal pipeline consistently improves absolute timestamp accuracy (AULTC) and improves temporal concordance across nearly all evaluated models over unimodal text-only reconstruction, without compromising event match rates. Furthermore, our empirical gap analysis reveals that 34.8% of text-derived events are entirely absent from tabular records, demonstrating that aligning these modalities can produce a more temporally faithful and clinically informative reconstruction of patient trajectories than either source alone.

As large language models empower healthcare, intelligent clinical decision support has developed rapidly. Longitudinal electronic health records (EHR) provide essential temporal evidence for accurate clinical diagnosis and analysis. However, current large language models have critical flaws in longitudinal EHR reasoning. First, lacking fine-grained statistical reasoning, they often hallucinate clinical trends and metrics when quantitative evidence is textually implied, biasing diagnostic inference. Second, non-uniform time series and scarce labels in longitudinal EHR hinder models from capturing long-range temporal dependencies, limiting reliable clinical reasoning. To address the above limitations, this work presents the Probabilistic Chain-of-Thought Completion Agent (COTCAgent), a hierarchical reasoning framework for longitudinal electronic health records. It consists of three core modules. The Temporal-Statistics Adapter (TSA) converts analytical plans into executable code for standardized trend output. The Chain-of-Thought Completion (COTC) layer leverages a symptom-trend-disease knowledge base with weighted scoring to evaluate disease risk, while the bounded completion module acquires structured evidence through standardized inquiries and iterative scoring constraints to ensure rigorous reasoning. By decoupling statistical computation, feature matching, and language generation, the framework eliminates reliance on complex multi-modal inputs and enables efficient longitudinal record analysis with lower computational overhead. Experimental results show that COTCAgent powered by Baichuan-M2 achieves 90.47% Top-1 accuracy on the self-built dataset and 70.41% on HealthBench, outperforming existing medical agents and mainstream large language models. The code is available at https://github.com/FrankDengAI/COTCAgent/.