cs.LGMay 19, 2026

Closed-form predictive coding via hierarchical Gaussian filters

Authors: Aleksandrs Baskakovs, Sylvain Estebe, Kenneth Enevoldsen, Kristoffer Nielbo, Chris Mathys, Nicolas Legrand

Organizations: Center for Humanities Computing Aarhus University Aarhus, Denmark · Interacting Minds Center Aarhus University Aarhus, Denmark

Abstract

Predictive coding (PC) offers a local and biologically grounded alternative to backpropagation in the training of artificial neural networks, yet to date, it remains slower, and performance degrades sharply as network depth increases. We trace both problems to a single simplification: current PC networks fix the precision matrix to the identity, discarding precision-weighted prediction errors that the variational derivation requires to be fast, local, and Bayesian. We close this gap by expressing predictive coding networks as deep hierarchical Gaussian filters (HGFs) and restore precision-weighted message passing, yielding dynamic uncertainty estimates and Hebbian-compatible update rules at every layer. The resulting networks can simultaneously learn activations, weights, and precisions under a single free-energy objective, with no global error signal, and resolve inference without requiring iterations or automatic differentiation. On FashionMNIST, our solution approaches backpropagation in epoch-level wall-clock cost while converging in fewer epochs, and outperforms it on online, data efficiency, and concept-drift tasks. We thus establish that closed-form variational inference with online precision learning provides a tractable foundation for deep predictive coding networks, retaining biological and interpretative advantages, without requiring iterative relaxation or global error signals.

Explore similar work

Jun 22, 2026cs.LG

Error Highways: Scaling Predictive Coding to Very Deep Networks

Predictive coding networks (PCNs) offer a biologically-plausible, local-learning alternative to back-propagation of errors (backprop). Nevertheless, they have remained largely confined to shallow architectures and evaluated on simple machine intelligence benchmarks. A central obstacle to scaling PCNs is that the learning signal decays rapidly as it propagates away from the clamped boundaries, leaving interior layers effectively unchanged. To directly counter this problem, we propose highway error propagation (HEP), a scheme that augments the free energy function underlying predictive coding (PC) by altering its neural structure with feedback matrices VL→iV_{L\to i} that couple selected hidden states directly to the clamped output error. Since this coupling is linear in the hidden state, the highway pathway delivers a correction at every inference step whose magnitude is independent of depth, in contrast to vanilla PC where the output error reaches the ii-th hidden layer with attenuation that decays exponentially in depth. This bypasses the Jacobian chain while preserving the local PC synaptic update rule. On MNIST and Fashion-MNIST, we show that HEP effectively trains MLPs of up to 128 layers with accuracy that is robust with respect to depth.
Amirhossein Mohammadi, Alexander G. Ororbia
Jun 6, 2026eess.SY

Predictive Coding with Bayesian Priors via Proximal Gradients

We recast predictive coding as continuous-time proximal gradient descent applied to a regularized maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) objective. We study first a single-level problem and then a multi-level hierarchy. For the single-level problem, we show that proximal gradient descent is precisely a leaky firing-rate network: the membrane leak, the effective recurrent matrix, the local synaptic drive, and the static nonlinearity all follow from one optimization principle, and the resulting circuit is the one proposed by Rao and Ballard. The prior selects the nonlinearity through its proximal operator, and the likelihood precision sets the gain on the observation. For the hierarchy, we show that a classical variable-splitting relaxation of the deep MAP problem yields hierarchical predictive coding as the interconnection of local and distributed solvers. In probabilistic modeling terms, this relaxation replaces the directed generative chain by an undirected Markov random field whose node potentials are the level-wise priors. Each level then applies its own activation function, namely the proximal operator of its prior.
Francesco Bullo
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

A Study of Hidden-State Optimization Order in Predictive Coding Networks

Local learning methods offer an alternative to end-to-end backpropagation, but their unstructured local objectives can produce weak feature learning in deep networks. We study whether the order of hidden-state optimization can address this limitation. We propose a boundary-first inference schedule that partitions a model into chunks, first coordinates hidden states at chunk boundaries, and then refines representations within each chunk. We instantiate this schedule in predictive coding networks (PCNs), a local-learning framework in which hidden activities and prediction errors are explicitly exposed during inference. On CIFAR-10, the resulting boundary-first predictive-coding instantiation improves accuracy over standard predictive coding by 9.77%9.77\% under a standard parametrization and by 5.51%5.51\% under a μμ-parametrization. Diagnostic analyses further show more non-trivial early-layer updates, lower initial-to-final CKA, and more diverse layerwise gradients, consistent with stronger feature learning. These results support boundary-first, chunk-based inference as a practical design principle for predictive-coding training and motivate its study in broader local-learning systems.
Xueyuan Li, Danilo Vasconcellos Vargas