Risk Averse Alert Prioritization for IDS Using Subnormal Gaussian Fuzzy Models

Streaming intrusion-detection studies assemble evaluation streams from network captures by interleaving capture days, pooling captures, or replaying records round robin. We show on two benchmarks that this assembly is an uncontrolled experimental treatment changing what the evaluation measures. On CICIDS2017, reordering an identical record multiset under a fixed positional 70/15/15 split yields held-out samples sharing only 32.5% of their records, at prevalences of 68.235% and 25.2396% (42.9954 points apart), and reverses the measured ordering of the two deterministic scorers. Restricting both arms to the 78000 records both held out removes the reversal, so it is attributable to which records the assembly hands to the test set, not to the order in which the detector saw its history. That attribution assumes that history contributes no more on the records the arms do not share than on those they do. On LITNET-2020, pooling three temporally disjoint captures reports one 6.4982% operating point, the equal-weight mean of per-capture held-out prevalences from 0.176% to 15.7747%, an identity presented as an audit check. The evaluated detector's reset posterior P(r_t=0) equals the hazard rate exactly below the run-length cap, though evaluations spend nearly all their length at or beyond it, and its evaluated score is a function of P(r<=5), not of P(r=0). Its deployed max composition ranks worse than its tail term alone (0.103477 AP, 0.302658 AUC-ROC) because the auxiliary branch is inverted (AUC-ROC 0.281890) and the maximum lets it set the score wherever the tail is small. With evaluated records and fitted model fixed, changing only the accompanying batch moves the ECOD reference implementation's AUC-PR by 0.003063, so published ECOD numbers are not comparable across studies scoring different batches. Every measured value traces to an archived, hash-verified run manifest.

False alarms remain a major barrier to deploying network intrusion detection systems (NIDS). In high-volume environments, even a sub-1% false positive rate can generate tens of thousands of daily alerts. Filter-based feature selection is attractive because it operates upstream of the classifier and adds no inference-time cost. However, classical filters use class-symmetric criteria that ignore the asymmetry of intrusion detection, where benign traffic defines the baseline and attacks are deviations from it. A recent class-asymmetric filter, Classwise Mean Deviation (CMD), addresses this issue but anchors its score to a global mean that shifts toward attack distributions under class imbalance, weakening the deviations it aims to capture. We propose Benign-Anchored Ranking and Selection (BARS), a two-stage filter that replaces CMD's global anchor with the benign-class mean and applies an order-preserving decorrelation step. We evaluate BARS on CICIDS2017, CICDDoS2019, and UNSW-NB15 using feature budgets k = {5, 10, 20, 30, 40}. On attack-majority datasets, where global-anchor bias is strongest, BARS reduces false positive rate relative to CMD by 15.4% on UNSW-NB15 at k = 20 and by 21% to 23% on CICDDoS2019 at small feature budgets while preserving true positive rate and macro-F1. On benign-majority data, BARS and CMD converge, consistent with the theoretical limit where global- and benign-anchored scores coincide. BARS is a principled refinement of CMD rather than a universally dominant filter. Although Pearson Correlation and Mutual Information often achieve lower false positive rates, they exceeded 1 TB of memory on the largest benchmarks in our evaluation. BARS retains linear-time scoring and a low memory footprint, making it suitable for resource-constrained deployments.

Intrusion detection systems are often trained under static benchmark conditions, although deployed network environments are affected by traffic drift, sensor noise, changing workloads, and evolving attack behaviour. Under such distribution shifts, static detectors may produce confident but incorrect predictions, leading to silent and unsafe failure modes. In this paper, RES-DARE (Recursive Evolving Specialists-Digital Adaptive Reasoning Engine) is proposed as a failure-aware continual intrusion detection framework with rollback-safe self-repair. Difficult, uncertain, and misclassified samples are treated as failure signals for expert specialisation rather than being discarded as noise. A supervised contrastive encoder, two-pass expert router, failure-buffer mechanism, HDBSCAN-based failure-region discovery, and trust-risk monitor are integrated to support adaptive IDS behaviour. AEHM-v2 is introduced as a rollback-safe repair mechanism, where candidate adaptations are provisionally activated and committed only when macro-F1 is preserved or improved while trust risk remains stable. Otherwise, the system is rolled back to its last validated state. RES-DARE is evaluated on CICIDS2017, UNSW-NB15, and TON_IoT, achieving macro-F1 scores of 0.9850, 0.9736, and 0.9691, respectively. Under Gaussian feature corruption at strength 0.10, RES-DARE retains an Attack-F1 of 0.7920 on CICIDS2017 and achieves near-zero catastrophic forgetting with F = 0.0015. The results show that RES-DARE improves robustness, warning capability, and deployment safety under degraded conditions.