LLM-agent simulation offers a flexible computational tool for studying population response trajectories that depend on scenario events, memory, demographics, and evolving social context. However, full multi-round simulation scales linearly with both population size and horizon, requiring every agent to query the LLM at every round. We propose Adaptive Prototype Simulation (APS), a framework that reframes scalable LLM-based simulation as a recurrent oracle-allocation problem. APS retains the designated LLM as the online transition oracle while querying adaptive core prototypes, selected singleton-tail agents, and shadow-audit agents. Prototype responses induce local response surfaces for nearby agents, reducing online LLM calls without replacing the underlying transition model. To control approximation bias, shadow-audit residual correction estimates propagation residuals for aggregate correction and future budget allocation, while tail-protected singleton routing directly queries selected isolated, heterogeneous, or high-curvature regions that are vulnerable to smoothing. Theoretically, we treat APS as an estimator for full-scale high-precision individual social simulation and decompose its errors into prototype-coverage error, shadow-audit residual-correction error, local-propagation bias, and temporal context mismatch. Under the reported protocols, APS gives lower reference-aligned distributional discrepancy than scale-oriented and same-budget baselines while reducing online LLM calls, with ablations and compact robustness checks diagnosing the main bias-control mechanisms. In a 10M-agent, multi-round public-opinion simulation, APS achieves a 381.1-fold reduction over full simulation, with reference-aligned final-round JSD of 0.094 against the corresponding full-LLM reference.
The scientific claims drawn from LLM social simulations should be no stronger than the robustness audits that support them. Generative agents bring new expressive power to agent-based modeling, enabling simulations of collective social processes like cooperation, polarization, and norm formation. Yet they also introduce complexity through additional architectural choices, such as agent specification, memory representation, interaction protocols, and environment design. Small perturbations that appear minor to researchers can cascade into macro-level outcomes through repeated interaction, creating a "butterfly effect." Consequently, scientific claims drawn from LLM social simulations may reflect implementation artifacts rather than the social mechanisms being modeled. We support this position with two case studies: a repeated Prisoner's Dilemma and a social media echo chamber simulation. Across multiple models, minor perturbations in persona format and game-instruction framing shift cooperation rates by up to 76 percentage points, while network homophily and hub assignment produce significant and consistent shifts in polarization metrics. We also find that sensitivity is unevenly distributed across both architectural choices and model families: the same perturbation that produces the 76 pp shift in one frontier model only shifts another by 1 pp. Robustness is therefore a property that should be measured per claim and per model, not assumed. To address this validation gap, we introduce TRAILS (Taxonomy for Robustness Audits In LLM Simulations), a robustness-audit taxonomy spanning three levels of simulation design: agent (micro-level), interaction (meso-level), and system (macro-level). We call for robustness to become a first-order validation requirement before LLM social simulations are used to explain mechanisms, evaluate interventions, or inform decisions.
LLMs are increasingly deployed to simulate social interactions, yet many of the existing simulators remain ad hoc and monolithic. This lack of architectural standardization prevents reproducible research and complicates downstream evaluation. We advance a rigorous science of LLM-based multi-agent simulation by modularizing core components into Environments, Agents, Simulation engines, and Evaluation metrics (EASE). We demonstrate the utility of EASE configuration by wrapping it in an experimental study schema for orchestrating workflows centered around answering explicit research questions in generated scenarios. We contribute SiliSocS, an open-source, research-ready Silicon Society Sandbox implementing a study-structured EASE configuration to enable highly configurable and reproducible LLM-based social simulations. Using SiliSocS and EASE, we present three case studies, showcasing the system's comprehensive assessment of existing questions, ability to dive deeper into complex questions, and elaboration of existing studies, respectively. Together, these case studies highlight the limitations of current modeling approaches and isolate the impacts of design choices on key results.
Sneheel Sarangi, Maximilian Puelma Touzel, Aurélien Bück-Kaeffer +3
LLM-agent simulations make natural-language social scenarios easy to instantiate, but their outputs can be overread as predictions and are often difficult to compare with explicit social dynamics. We present AgoraSim, a hybrid agent-based modeling framework for scenario-oriented social reaction analysis. AgoraSim resolves textual or multimodal artifacts into editable ABM configurations, runs ratio-controlled populations that mix LLM, vision-language, custom-endpoint, random, and classical agents, and compares the same scenario against matched classical reference dynamics. All agents emit a shared structured decision object, enabling common action spaces, interaction protocols, metrics, and audit records. Exposed through a local UI, Python SDK/CLI, and REST API, AgoraSim helps users inspect scenario trajectories, compare modeling assumptions, and identify cases that warrant empirical validation.