Bayesian Deployment Approval for Learned Landing Controllers under Finite Rollout Validation

Spacecraft guidance, navigation, and control functions are increasingly realized as learned policies distilled from expert solvers. Developing such a policy is itself a research process: an investigator selects an architecture and hyperparameters, runs experiments, and must determine whether an apparent improvement is genuine or merely seed noise. This paper presents AutoResearch, a framework in which a large language model autonomously drives that loop for aerospace control problems, coupled with a credibility layer, built into the loop, that certifies each reported result against the problem's own measured seed noise. The language model serves only as the offline research agent that develops the control policy; the trained policy it produces is then deployed onboard the spacecraft, while the model itself never operates the vehicle. At each iteration the agent reads a plain-language problem description and the run history, proposes a single edit to the training script, executes it, and logs the outcome. No reported result is credited until it passes the same three checks: measured per-problem seed noise, reseeded verification of the best configuration, and leave-one-out pruning of the agent's edits. The same loop is applied, unchanged, to two aerospace control problems: a Clohessy-Wiltshire relative rendezvous and a safety-constrained collision-avoidance docking past a keep-out zone, each calibrated against a known optimal control benchmark. In both, the audited policy clears the measured seed noise by many standard deviations; an undirected search over the same parameters does not. On the docking problem the gap becomes categorical: undirected search yields no feasible policy, while the learned policy stays outside the keep-out zone on every seed.

Real-world control systems frequently operate under \emph{piecewise stationary} conditions, where dynamics remain stable for extended periods before undergoing abrupt regime changes. Standard robust RL methods face a fundamental dilemma: a globally conservative policy wastes performance during stable periods, while a locally adaptive policy risks catastrophic failure when the regime changes undetected. We propose \textbf{BAPR} (Bayesian Amnesic Piecewise-Robust SAC), which unifies Bayesian Online Change Detection (BOCD) with robust ensemble RL. The BAPR operator -- a convex combination of mode-conditional Bellman operators weighted by a frozen belief distribution -- is a $γ$-contraction. A complementary counterexample, machine-verified in Lean4, establishes a \emph{sharp boundary}: when beliefs depend on the Q-function, the contraction factor becomes $γ+ λΔ$ (where $Δ$ is the mode reward gap), and contraction fails exactly when $γ+ λΔ\geq 1$. We derive a \emph{component-wise} formal error budget for the abstract operator -- every component machine-verified -- bounding post-switch recovery; the budget applies to the abstract mode-mixture operator and inherits to the implemented shared-critic algorithm only through the frozen-parameter design intuition. All results are formally verified with no \texttt{sorry} (1,145 lines across 3 Lean4 files, 22 machine-verified theorems). BOCD drives an adaptive conservatism mechanism: the policy becomes maximally conservative after detected change-points and smoothly relaxes as confidence grows, with detection delay $O(\log(1/δ))$. A context-conditioning module trained via RMDM loss provides mode-aware representations from simulator-provided mode IDs at training time and requires no mode labels at deployment.

Autonomous landing of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) on wave-disturbed marine platforms remains challenging due to stochastic platform motion, time-varying platform attitude, and uncertain touchdown conditions. Existing model-based methods often require accurate motion prediction and online optimization, while end-to-end learning approaches may suffer from high training complexity and limited interpretability. This paper presents WaveLander, a hierarchical control framework via reinforcement learning (RL) that decouples vertical landing decision-making from low-level flight stabilization. The RL policy maps a compact platform-relative observation to a scalar vertical velocity reference, while a conventional low-level flight controller maintains attitude stability and lateral tracking. This formulation reduces dynamic platform landing to a low-dimensional, timing-aware control problem and enables smooth landing behavior without explicit switching rules. Simulation results under randomized wave-induced platform motions show that WaveLander achieves robust landing performance and generalizes to unseen disturbance conditions, demonstrating the potential of hierarchical learning-based control for marine UAV recovery.