Generative Models and Statistical Validation

Generative networks are perfect tools to enhance the speed and precision of LHC simulations. Especially when generating events beyond the size of the training dataset, it is important to understand their statistical precision. We present two complementary methods to estimate the amplification factor without large holdout datasets. Averaging amplification uses Bayesian networks or ensembling to estimate amplification from the precision of integrals over given phase-space volumes. Differential amplification uses hypothesis testing to quantify amplification without any resolution loss. Applied to state-of-the-art event generators, both methods indicate that amplification is already possible in specific regions of phase space.

Sampling high-dimensional probability distributions is a central task in scientific computing, with applications ranging from Bayesian inference to statistical physics and molecular simulation. Despite decades of methodological developments, two major challenges remain: scaling to high dimensions and efficiently exploring multimodal distributions characterized by metastable states. Classical approaches such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, tempering methods, or enhanced sampling based on collective variables have achieved major successes, but they also face intrinsic limitations. This tutorial review explores a new paradigm that has recently emerged at the interface of machine learning and computational statistical physics: the use of generative models as tools for sampling. In this context, models such as normalizing flows and diffusion models are not used in their traditional data-driven setting, but rather as flexible probabilistic models that can assist the sampling of distributions known only up to a normalization constant. This manuscript reviews the early development of this rapidly evolving field and discusses several methodological directions, including exact samplers based on generative models and strategies to train such models in the absence of data. While an exhaustive survey of the literature is not attempted, we present a selection of key ideas and methods, along with a discussion of their strengths and limitations. The review is intended to be an accessible tutorial for both physics and machine learning audiences, and it aims to provide a starting point for researchers interested in exploring this exciting area of research.

High-precision calorimeter simulation at current and future colliders imposes rapidly growing computational demands, motivating the development of machine-learning surrogates for traditional Monte Carlo tools such as Geant4. Flow matching and diffusion-based generative models have become leading approaches for high-dimensional fast simulation because of their sample quality, but typically require ${\cal O}(100)$ function evaluations at inference and often rely on auxiliary networks to constrain global observables, compromising streamlined end-to-end generation. We introduce a unified framework that improves the balance between speed, shower quality, and physics fidelity. The method combines: (i) an average velocity field integrator that enables sampling in one or a few evaluations; (ii) a learned generative prior in shower space, constructed from data rather than random noise; and (iii) physics-guided loss terms that impose inductive biases on key observables during training. These elements are training time regularizers, preserving end-to-end inference with no additional cost. With only one or a few evaluation steps, the model achieves shower quality competitive with state-of-the-art flow and diffusion approaches, tested on several public high granularity calorimeter datasets. The results demonstrate inter-layer shower structure consistent with the underlying physics, providing a strong candidate for future fast simulation workflows.