Scalable Inference-Time Annealing with Surrogate Likelihood Estimators

Recent progress in flow-based generative modeling has led to models that output high-quality samples while using only a small number of function evaluations. However, at present, there is a lack of similar advances in estimating the model likelihood. In particular, most existing methods either rely on restrictive architectures that enable exact calculations, or use stochastic approximations such as Hutchinson's trace estimator that introduce substantial variance. In this work, we introduce SCAlable LikeLihood distillation of flOw maPs (SCALLOP). SCALLOP builds on the recently proposed F2D2, a likelihood flow map model that can generate samples and their densities in a small number of function evaluations. While F2D2 uses Hutchinson's estimator during training, we introduce an alternative and more scalable likelihood distillation objective that is Hutchinson-free and admits a vectorized formulation. Empirically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of SCALLOP as a Boltzmann generator in molecular science, and further validate its benefit on image datasets. SCALLOP significantly reduces both training variance and training time while consistently improving performance compared to F2D2, and is competitive with the state-of-the-art while achieving up to 10x inference speedup over the fastest baseline.

Computational sampling has been central to the sciences since the mid-20th century. While machine-learning-based approaches have recently enabled major advances, their behavior remains poorly understood, with limited theoretical control over when and why they succeed. Here we provide such insight for diffusion models-a class of generative schemes highly effective in practice-by analyzing their application to the $O(n)$ model of statistical field theory in the Gaussian limit $n \to \infty$. In this analytically tractable setting, we show that training a score model with a one-layer network architecture matching the exact solution exhibits a form of critical slowing down in parameter learning. This slowing down also impacts the generation process, indicating that the well-known difficulties of sampling near criticality persist even for learned generative models. To overcome this bottleneck, we demonstrate the power of combining architectural depth with physical locality. We find that using a two-layer architecture drastically reduces the critical slowing down, with the training time scaling logarithmically rather than quadratically with system size. By introducing a local score approximation we show that this acceleration in training time can be achieved without increasing the number of neural network parameters. Taken together, these results demonstrate that diffusion models can overcome the critical slowing down through appropriate architectural design, and establish a controlled framework for understanding and improving learned sampling methods in statistical physics and beyond.

iffusion-based generative models increasingly rely on inference-time guidance, adding a drift term or reweighting mixture of experts, to improve sample quality on task-specific objectives. However, most existing techniques require repeated score or gradient evaluations, introducing bias, high computational overhead, or both. We introduce \texttt{URGE}, Unbiased Resampling via Girsanov Estimation, a derivative-free inference-time scaling algorithm that performs path-wise importance reweighting via a Girsanov change of measure. Instead of computing gradient-based particle weights in previous work, \texttt{URGE} attaches a simple multiplicative weight to each simulated trajectory and periodically resamples. No score, no Hessian, and no PDE evaluation is required. We establish an equivalence between path-wise and particle-wise SMC: the Girsanov path weight admits a backward conditional expectation that recovers the previous particle-level weights, guaranteeing that both schemes produce the same unbiased terminal law. Empirically, \texttt{URGE} outperforms existing inference-time guidance baselines on synthetic tests and diffusion-model benchmarks, achieving better generation quality, while being significantly simpler to implement and fully gradient-free.