Automated Prediction of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Using Preoperative Computed Tomography

Accurate determination of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resectability relies on evaluating how the tumor interacts with major peripancreatic vessels on CT imaging, yet expert assessment often shows substantial variability. We introduce a fully automated multimodal deep learning framework that jointly analyzes 3D contrast enhanced CT and structured clinical information to classify patients into the three National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) resectability categories (upfront resectable, borderline resectable, locally advanced). The approach uses a Swin-UNETR backbone to obtain anatomy aware image representations through auxiliary segmentation of pancreas, tumor, and vascular structures. These features are fused with a compact clinical embedding derived from 17 routinely collected variables and processed by a lightweight classification head. Model training is guided by a dynamic multitask objective that adapts the balance between segmentation and classification based on current tumor Dice performance, promoting feature representations that remain both anatomically informed and discriminative.

Pancreatic tumor segmentation in contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) is clinically important yet technically challenging: lesions are often small, heterogeneous, and easily confused with surrounding soft tissue, and models that perform well on one cohort frequently degrade under cohort shift. Our goal is to improve cross-cohort generalization while keeping the model architecture simple, efficient, and practical for 3D CT segmentation. We introduce PanGuide3D, a cohort-robust architecture with a shared 3D encoder, a pancreas decoder that predicts a probabilistic pancreas map, and a tumor decoder that is explicitly conditioned on this pancreas probability at multiple scales via differentiable soft gating. To capture long-range context under distribution shift, we further add a lightweight Transformer bottleneck in the U-Net bottleneck representation. We evaluate cohort transfer by training on the PanTS (Pancreatic Tumor Segmentation) cohort and testing both in-cohort (PanTS) and out-of-cohort on MSD (Medical Segmentation Decathlon) Task07 Pancreas, using matched preprocessing and training protocols across strong baselines. We collect voxel-level segmentation metrics, patient-level tumor detection, subgroup analyses by tumor size and anatomical location, volume-conditioned performance analyses, and calibration measurements to assess reliability. Across the evaluated models, PanGuide3D achieves the best overall tumor performance and shows improved cross-cohort generalization, particularly for small tumors and challenging anatomical locations, while reducing anatomically implausible false positives. These findings support probabilistic anatomical conditioning as a practical strategy for improving cross-cohort robustness in an end-to-end model and suggest potential utility for contouring support, treatment planning, and multi-institutional studies.

Non-alcoholic fatty pancreas disease (NAFPD) is an underdiagnosed condition associated with metabolic syndrome, insulin resistance, and increased risk of pancreatic cancer. Diagnosis typically relies on subjective visual assessment of ultrasound images by clinicians. We propose an end-to-end framework for automatically classifying normal versus fatty pancreas from abdominal ultrasound images. Our method employs a TransUNet-based segmentation architecture with a ResNet encoder and transformer bottleneck to delineate the pancreas and the splenic vein, followed by anatomically-guided patch extraction and patient-level classification through pairwise texture comparison. The feature engineering mimics clinical reasoning by comparing the echogenicity of peri-venous fat to the pancreatic parenchyma, providing an interpretable signal for classification. The segmentation models are initialized via domain-specific transfer learning from a liver segmentation task. We validate the full pipeline on a clinical dataset of 214 abdominal ultrasound images with 107 expert-labeled cases using 5-fold cross-validation. SVM with RBF kernel achieves a mean cross-validated accuracy of 89.7%,$\pm$,1.8% and F1 of 0.898,$\pm$,0.019, while the unsupervised K-Means baseline reaches 87.8% accuracy, demonstrating that the proposed features capture the relevant clinical signal even without labeled training data. To our knowledge, this is the first end-to-end automated framework for fatty pancreas classification from ultrasound using segmentation-guided texture analysis.