cs.CVMay 29, 2026

Automated Prediction of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Using Preoperative Computed Tomography

Authors: Ashok ChoudharyChris VargheseLeo Y. Li-HanFrank G. LeeEllen L. LarsonElizabeth B. HabermannCornelius A. ThielsHojjat Salehinejad

Organizations: Department of Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA · Department of Surgery, University of Auckland, Auckland, NZ · Kern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA · Department of Artificial Intelligence and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA

Abstract

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a serious complication after pancreatic resection, increasing morbidity, hospital stay, and healthcare costs. We present an automatic, end-to-end deep learning pipeline-from pancreatic segmentation to classification-for preoperative POPF risk estimation and stratification using preoperative CT scans. A data set with auto-segmented pancreas volumes and surgical outcomes was used to evaluate multiple architectures, including a custom lightweight 3D CNN baseline (CNN3D), R(2+1)D ResNet-18, and ResNet-MC3-18 models. Evaluation across multiple 3D architectures demonstrated promising predictive performance. This approach offers a clinically valuable tool and a methodological benchmark for pancreas-specific CT classification, supporting improved preoperative decision-making in pancreatic surgery.

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