"Skill Issues'': Data-Centric Optimization of Lakehouse Agents

We present a framework for evaluating data-science agents on live, continuously updated data using executable ground truth and format-agnostic factoid scoring. Consider this example query: "what were last week's audience sizes"---the reference answer changes as the underlying data changes, so static references become outdated and standard LLM-as-a-judge pipelines cannot verify responses against a fixed ground truth. Our central contribution, ground-truth-as-code, encodes each expected answer as an executable reference function that recomputes the answer directly from live data at evaluation time, ensuring the reference remains consistent with the system it describes. We combine this with a factoid-level, format-agnostic judge that decomposes both the agent's response and the computed ground truth into atomic claims and scores precision, recall, and accuracy over them, irrespective of the response format (prose, list, table, HTML, etc.). The approach is applicable to agents whose expected outputs can be expressed as executable data computations. We validate the framework through a human--LLM agreement study on an internally developed machine learning skill deployed in production, using a synthetic database constructed to reproduce production schemas and entity relationships. Relative to a natural-language ground-truth baseline, our method achieves a 29% improvement in the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC)---a class-balanced measure of agreement between expert annotators and LLM-as-a-judge predictions---and a 16% reduction in token consumption per test case, while a self-directed baseline lacking explicit ground truth is anti-correlated with human judgment. Agents that perform multi-source data integration and computation over non-stationary data are routinely deployed in industry; we propose ground-truth-as-code as a practical methodology for their evaluation.

Agent skills have become an important mechanism for equipping language-model agents with reusable procedural knowledge. However, providing skills alone does not guarantee that current models can effectively identify, apply, and coordinate them. To improve skill-use capabilities, we introduce SKT, a verified data synthesis pipeline that constructs skill-grounded tasks and executable trajectories from large collections of agent skills. SKT selects suitable single-skill and multi-skill configurations, synthesizes tasks through rule-based and agent-based verification with feedback-guided repair, and retains only successful trajectories that substantially use every required skill. Using 2,000 public skills, SKT produces 4,000 task packages and 27,164 verified trajectories. Based on the same pipeline and a disjoint test pool, we further construct SkillEval, a held-out executable benchmark for evaluating skill use. Experiments across diverse models, benchmarks, and agent harnesses show that supervised fine-tuning on SKT-generated trajectories consistently improves skill-use performance. Verification ablations, cross-harness evaluation, and scaling experiments further demonstrate that these gains depend on high-quality supervision, extend beyond a single agent interface, and increase with broader skill coverage. Together, these results establish verified data synthesis as an effective and scalable approach for skill-use training.

External skills can improve action-oriented LLM agents without changing model weights, but persistent skill updates are risky when they are distilled from sparse or noisy trajectories. A plausible reflection may encode a useful procedure, a spurious shortcut, or a rule that the target executor cannot reliably follow. We propose Hypothesis-Driven Skill Optimization (HDSO), a train-free framework in which both the skill curator and the agent executor are frozen inference endpoints. The curator observes executor traces, proposes a falsifiable hypothesis with an explicit validation plan, instantiates the hypothesis as a candidate skill package, validates the package through paired control/treatment executions, reviews behavior differences, and consolidates only supported candidates into an approved repository. The executor consumes approved skills through progressive disclosure, preserving the executor-only path when no skill is selected. On ALFWorld, HDSO improves executor-only baselines by +6.9 Avg. SR points for Qwen3-8B and +4.0 points for Qwen3.6-27B. Under 20% randomly flipped success/failure feedback during skill discovery and validation, HDSO preserves a +7.1-point gain for Qwen3-8B. Transfer and heterogeneous-pair diagnostics further show that validated repositories can be useful beyond the run that produced them, but cross-model curation succeeds only when curator diagnosis, executor capability, and validation evidence align. HDSO provides an auditable skill lifecycle for frozen action agents rather than an unconstrained memory accumulation procedure.