ChronosAD: Leveraging Time Series Foundation Models for Accurate Anomaly Detection
Authors: Uzair Khan, Luigi Capogrosso, Francesco Biondani, Michele Magno, Franco Fummi, Francesco Setti, Marco Cristani
Organizations: University of Verona · Interdisciplinary Transformation University of Austria · ETH Zurich
Abstract
Time series anomaly detection is a crucial task in various domains, including finance, healthcare, and industry. However, existing methods often struggle to generalize across different datasets, especially when anomalies are subtle or context-dependent. To solve this issue, we introduce ChronosAD, a novel architecture for anomaly detection that uses a time series foundation model as a feature extractor. Specifically, it employs a two-stage pipeline: first, it uses the foundation model to extract embeddings for each time series in a zero-shot manner. Then, a custom-developed Temporal Block, composed of Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and Multi-Head Attention, refines these embeddings to capture temporal dependencies and highlight salient patterns. Unlike previous approaches, our model requires minimal task-specific tuning and demonstrates robust generalization across a wide range of domains, including industrial, medical, cyber-physical, and automotive systems. Extensive experiments on 11 benchmarks show that ChronosAD outperforms existing methods by 4.72% in AUC and 6.60% in AP on average. The source code is available at https://github.com/intelligolabs/ChronosAD.
Although recent studies on time-series anomaly detection have increasingly adopted ever-larger neural network architectures such as transformers and foundation models, they incur high computational costs and memory usage, making them impractical for real-time and resource-constrained scenarios. Moreover, they often fail to demonstrate significant performance gains over simpler methods under rigorous evaluation protocols. In this study, we propose Patch-based representation learning for time-series Anomaly detection (PaAno), a lightweight yet effective method for fast and efficient time-series anomaly detection. PaAno extracts short temporal patches from time-series training data and uses a 1D convolutional neural network to embed each patch into a vector representation. The model is trained using a combination of triplet loss and pretext loss to ensure the embeddings capture informative temporal patterns from input patches. During inference, the anomaly score at each time step is computed by comparing the embeddings of its surrounding patches to those of normal patches extracted from the training time-series. Evaluated on the TSB-AD benchmark, PaAno achieved state-of-the-art performance, significantly outperforming existing methods, including those based on heavy architectures, on both univariate and multivariate time-series anomaly detection across various range-wise and point-wise performance measures.
Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is essential for maintaining the reliability and security of IoT-enabled service systems. Existing methods require training one specific model for each dataset, which exhibits limited generalization capability across different target datasets, hindering anomaly detection performance in various scenarios with scarce training data. To address this limitation, foundation models have emerged as a promising direction. However, existing approaches either repurpose large language models (LLMs) or construct largescale time series datasets to develop general anomaly detection foundation models, and still face challenges caused by severe cross-modal gaps or in-domain heterogeneity. In this paper, we investigate the applicability of large-scale vision models to TSAD. Specifically, we adapt a visual Masked Autoencoder (MAE) pretrained on ImageNet to the TSAD task. However, directly transferring MAE to TSAD introduces two key challenges: overgeneralization and limited local perception. To address these challenges, we propose VAN-AD, a novel MAE-based framework for TSAD. To alleviate the over-generalization issue, we design an Adaptive Distribution Mapping Module (ADMM), which maps the reconstruction results before and after MAE into a unified statistical space to amplify discrepancies caused by abnormal patterns. To overcome the limitation of local perception, we further develop a Normalizing Flow Module (NFM), which combines MAE with normalizing flow to estimate the probability density of the current window under the global distribution. Extensive experiments on nine real-world datasets demonstrate that VAN-AD consistently outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods across multiple evaluation metrics.We make our code and datasets available at https://github.com/PenyChen/VAN-AD.
We propose a post-hoc adaptive conformal anomaly detection method for monitoring time series that leverages predictions from pre-trained foundation models without requiring additional fine-tuning. Our method yields an interpretable anomaly score directly interpretable as a false alarm rate (p-value), facilitating transparent and actionable decision-making. It employs weighted quantile conformal prediction bounds and adaptively learns optimal weighting parameters from past predictions, enabling calibration under distribution shifts and stable false alarm control, while preserving out-of-sample guarantees. As a model-agnostic solution, it integrates seamlessly with foundation models and supports rapid deployment in resource-constrained environments. This approach addresses key industrial challenges such as limited data availability, lack of training expertise, and the need for immediate inference, while taking advantage of the growing accessibility of time series foundation models. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets show that the proposed approach delivers strong performance, combining simplicity, interpretability, robustness, and adaptivity.
Natalia Martinez Gil, Fearghal O'Donncha, Wesley M. Gifford +3