Inference-Time Conformal Reasoning with Valid Factuality Control for Large Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) frequently hallucinate, limiting their reliability in critical applications. Conformal Prediction (CP) addresses this by calibrating error rates on held-out data to provide statistically valid confidence guarantees. Recent work extends CP to LLM factuality to filter out risky claims, ensuring that hallucination rates remain below a user-specified level (e.g., 10%). While prior methods treat claims independently, Coherent Factuality extends to multi-step reasoning by representing outputs as dependency graphs and jointly validating claims with their logical ancestors. A key limitation is that Coherent Factuality is not differentiable, requiring hand-crafted scorers that at high reliability levels remove nearly 60% of true claims. We introduce Differentiable Coherent Factuality (DCF), a fully differentiable relaxation that enables learning improved scorers while provably recovering the original algorithm's guarantees. Experiments on two benchmark reasoning datasets demonstrate DCF achieves up to 141% improvement in claim retention while maintaining reliability guarantees, representing a significant step towards reliable conformal LLM systems.

Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) have achieved strong multimodal performance, yet ensuring the factual correctness of generated content remains challenging. Existing methods that provide statistical guarantees on factuality typically rely on external verifiers or generation-time confidence signals, which introduce auxiliary dependencies or often fail for confident but incorrect outputs. We argue that reliable factuality control can instead be achieved through introspective signals derived from the model itself. We introduce IntroConformal, a training-free Conformal Risk Control (CRC) framework that provides finite-sample, distribution-free factuality guarantees. We first instantiate it with layer-wise semantic stability, a conformity score derived from hidden-state representations, and then propose verification probability, a stronger score capturing the model's self-administered judgment on claim factuality. Across multiple LVLM architectures, IntroConformal satisfies the conformal risk guarantee while substantially reducing abstention and achieving competitive or superior claim-level discrimination relative to external verifier-based baselines.

Large-Language Models (LLMs) can be prone to flawed and unfaithful reasoning that decoding strategies like Self-Consistency (SC) fail to detect as they evaluate only final-answer agreement while ignoring the logical validity of intermediate steps. This raises three fundamental questions: How can we reliably quantify uncertainty in LLM reasoning? Can semantic, structural, and causal awareness select more faithful reasoning compared to naïve majority voting? and How robust is reasoning topology under adversarial conditions? To address these questions, we introduce GRAPHEVAL, a graph-based reasoning framework that re-frames uncertainty quantification (UQ) as a holistic reasoning fidelity problem. We propose a novel UQ metric, Graph Reasoning Coherence Score (GRCS), that quantifies semantic-structural consensus of the reasoning space and captures pathological mode collapse and confident hallucinations. We find that GRCS is the only metric that is consistently negatively correlated with reasoning faithfulness across both more capable and smaller models. Additionally, we introduce Graph Self-Consistency (GSC), a medoid-based decoding strategy that trades nominal accuracy for reasoning fidelity, exposing the degree to which SC is inflated by unfaithful lucky guesses in smaller models, while preserving or improving accuracy in more capable ones. Finally, through adversarial medoid ablation, we demonstrate that the GSC-selected path acts as a "load-bearing path" and forcing models away from it degrades reasoning faithfulness and, in targeted cases, causes drops in accuracy.