Reusing a held-out benchmark adaptively should, in principle, invite overfitting. Yet benchmark-driven machine learning (ML) has produced surprisingly little overfitting in practice. An attractive hypothesis is that successful ML strategies are highly compressible. We study this in the setting of LLM-driven research agents, where the hypothesis becomes directly testable via two complementary information bottlenecks. In \emph{output compression}, an exploration agent adaptively searches for high-performance models using a validation set, and we test whether a fresh ``reproducer agent'' can reproduce its performance given only an extremely short prompt and the training data. In \emph{input compression}, the explorer receives only one-bit feedback indicating whether each submitted model improves on the running best. Across 8 datasets spanning tabular classification, vision, language modeling, diffusion modeling, and reward modeling, we find that these bottlenecks have little effect on performance: short prompts and compressible feedback are sufficient to reproduce and find high-performance models. The hypothesis is falsifiable: when we deliberately induce validation-set overfitting, the results fail to reproduce with short prompts. Taken together, our results support a description-length explanation for the lack of overfitting in benchmark-driven ML: successful strategies occupy a low-complexity region of strategy space.
Agent benchmarks are substantially more costly to evaluate than conventional LLM benchmarks. Benchmark compression is therefore a natural solution, yet existing methods primarily model redundancy in task--model final-score distributions, which is important in agentic evaluation. To address this limitation, we analyze large-scale trajectories and identify six complementary process signals that are systematically associated with final agent performance. To disentangle agent performance redundancy from a complete perspective, we propose DualViewEval, an agent benchmark compression method that jointly exploits outcome and process relations to learn an exact-size miniset and predict the full-benchmark scores. Across five agent benchmarks and five representative baselines, DualViewEval achieves the best results in all datasets. With only 20 tasks, it achieves 24×--40× compression on APEX-Agents and BFCL, reducing mean absolute error (MAE) by 14.5%--28.2% over the strongest competitors while improving Kendall's τ by up to 7.2% relative to EssenceBench on SWE-bench Verified. The selected minisets further reveal capability differences among different agents, providing compact and diagnostic feedback for efficient agentic model development.
The token-level extractive compressors widely used for general LM context are structurally inappropriate for LLM agents: across 17 (env, backbone, method) cells spanning two independent token-level method families, every cell collapses to mean reward <= 0.05 despite 1.3-13.3x realized compression. We name and characterize this failure mode as action-grammar destruction -- the tokens carrying action semantics (identifiers, brackets, action verbs) are exactly those self-information ranks lowest, so a general-purpose compressor reliably removes them and the environment rejects the residual. The diagnosis points to step-granularity compression. We introduce AGORA, an inference-free step-level compressor combining a structural prompt parser, an always-keep floor for format- and recency-critical content, and a 125M-parameter relevance scorer trained on counterfactual next-action-change labels (~2ms/step, zero per-step LLM toll). Across the compared inference-free and LLM-based methods, AGORA is the only one retaining >= 75% uncompressed performance in 8 of 9 cells (with the lone exception at 73%); a four-way component ablation isolates the structural floor as the dominant quality lever and the learned scorer as the source of 1.0-11.5x adaptive end-to-end compression from a single fixed keep ratio.
Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards improves LLM reasoning but often induces overthinking, where models generate unnecessarily long reasoning traces. Existing methods mainly rely on length penalties or early-exit strategies; however, the former may degrade accuracy and induce underthinking, whereas the latter assumes that substantial portions of reasoning traces can be safely truncated. To obtain a compression signal without these limitations, we revisit the training dynamics of existing compression methods. We observe that the length--accuracy correlation is initially negative but continually increases during compression, indicating that shorter responses are initially more likely to be correct but gradually lose this property as the policy moves toward underthinking. Based on this observation, we formalize overthinking: a negative correlation indicates an overthinking regime, while a positive one indicates underthinking. When overthinking, the shortest correct responses are shorter than the group-average response length in expectation, making them natural compression targets already present in on-policy rollouts. We therefore propose \emph{Implicit Compression Regularization} (ICR), an on-policy regularization method whose compression signal comes from a virtual shorter distribution induced by the shortest correct responses in rollout groups, guiding the policy toward concise yet correct trajectories. Training dynamics show that ICR maintains a better length--accuracy correlation during compression, indicating that short responses remain better aligned with correctness instead of drifting toward underthinking. Experiments on three reasoning backbones and multiple mathematical and knowledge-intensive benchmarks show that ICR consistently shortens responses while preserving or improving accuracy, achieving a stronger accuracy--length Pareto frontier.