DynFS-MoE: Dynamic Functional-Structural Mixture-of-Experts for Post-Traumatic Epilepsy Diagnosis

Objective: Post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) is a debilitating neurological disorder that develops after traumatic brain injury (TBI). Early prediction of PTE remains challenging due to heterogeneous clinical data, limited positive cases, and reliance on resource-intensive neuroimaging data. We investigate whether routinely collected acute clinical records alone can support early PTE prediction using language model-based approaches. Methods: Using a curated subset of the TRACK-TBI cohort, we developed an automated PTE prediction framework that implements pretrained large language models (LLMs) as fixed feature extractors to encode clinical records. Tabular features, LLM-generated embeddings, and hybrid feature representations were evaluated using gradient-boosted tree classifiers under stratified cross-validation. Results: LLM embeddings achieved performance improvements by capturing contextual clinical information compared to using tabular features alone. The best performance was achieved by a modality-aware feature fusion strategy combining tabular features and LLM embeddings, achieving an AUC-ROC of 0.892 and AUPRC of 0.798. Acute post-traumatic seizures, injury severity, neurosurgical intervention, and ICU stay are key contributors to the predictive performance. Significance: These findings demonstrate that routine acute clinical records contain information suitable for early PTE risk prediction using LLM embeddings in conjunction with gradient-boosted tree classifiers. This approach represents a promising complement to imaging-based prediction.

Electroencephalographic (EEG) abnormalities arise from dynamic changes in neural synchrony across spatial and temporal scales, yet many computational approaches reduce these dynamics to static features. We present a Spatial Multi-Expert Graph Transformer that models each EEG recording as a sequence of dynamic functional connectivity graphs. Time-resolved connectivity is estimated using the weighted Phase Lag Index (wPLI), and hierarchical graph encoding aggregates information from electrode to regional and global levels. A multi-expert transformer architecture enables subtype-aware reasoning, with a gating mechanism adaptively fusing expert outputs for global abnormality prediction. Experiments on the TUAB dataset show competitive abnormal EEG detection performance and demonstrate the potential of dynamic graph modeling with adaptive expert fusion for interpretable, subtype-aware spatial--temporal analysis.

The promise of multimodal fusion lies in combining complementary sources of evidence, yet more evidence does not always yield a better prediction. Recent multimodal models have advanced fusion through richer cross-modal interaction and sample-adaptive fusion. However, the influence assigned to a modality during fusion does not reveal whether that source is unreliable, redundant, or poorly matched to a specialized expert. To address this limitation, we introduce TIER-MoE, a risk-guided subspace mixture-of-experts model that defines sample-specific modality reliability as the prediction loss its unimodal predictor is expected to incur. This risk is learned from out-of-fold predictions generated by models that were not trained on the corresponding sample. TIER-MoE combines the estimated risk with expert-specific subspace compatibility for sparse modality-expert routing, while an always-active shared path preserves multimodal complementarity. We evaluate TIER-MoE on four public multimodal biomedical datasets spanning Alzheimer's disease status, skin-lesion malignancy, and retinal classification. Results demonstrate its superiority over state-of-the-art methods in predictive performance and probability calibration, with consistent improvements in Macro-F1 and Brier score and strong zero-shot generalization to an external cohort.